Blue Jays vs. Orioles Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 21, 2023

May 21, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Baltimore Orioles (30-16) hope to complete a three-game sweep of the Toronto Blue Jays (25-21) when the teams meet at 1:37 PM ET on Sunday. The Blue Jays are -196 favorites to prevent the Orioles from completing the sweep.

Kevin Gausman will get the ball for Toronto while Baltimore will counter with Dean Kremer.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds

Blue Jays odds to win: -196
Orioles odds to win: +164
Spread: Blue Jays -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, May 21, 2023
Time: 1:37 PM ET
TV: SNET

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Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Orioles?

Blue Jays and Orioles Betting Trends

The Blue Jays have an 18-15 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 54.5% of those games).

Toronto has a 5-3 record (winning 62.5% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -196 or shorter.

The Orioles have been underdogs in 22 games this season and won 11 (50%) of those contests.

Baltimore has played as an underdog of +164 or more twice this season and split those games.

The Blue Jays have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 21 times this season for a 21-23-2 record against the over/under.

The Orioles and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 23 of their 46 opportunities.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays rank 13th in runs scored with 211, 4.6 per game.

Toronto is 18th in baseball with 49 total home runs.

The Blue Jays rank 12th in MLB with a .255 batting average.

Toronto’s hitters strike out 8.1 times per game, the seventh-fewest strikeouts in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Blue Jays has a collective 9.4 K/9, the sixth-best in MLB.

Toronto has the 10th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.99).

Orioles Stats & Insights

The Orioles have scored the ninth-most runs in the league this season with 232.

Baltimore has hit 58 homers this season, which ranks 10th in the majors.

The Orioles’ .252 batting average ranks 13th in the league this season.

Baltimore is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking eighth with an average of 8.2 strikeouts per game.

The Orioles average 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, eighth-most in the league.

Baltimore has the 13th-ranked ERA (4.10) in the majors this season.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

Gausman (2-3) gets the starting nod for the Blue Jays in his 10th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.27 ERA in 55 2/3 innings pitched, with 77 strikeouts.

Bo Bichette leads Toronto in home runs with nine, runs batted in with 30 and his batting average of .313 is also best on his team.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has collected 50 hits this season and has an OBP of .376. He’s slugging .497 on the year.

Matt Chapman has 51 hits this season and a slash line of .300/.380/.500.

George Springer is batting .229 with an OBP of .293 and a slugging percentage of .343 this season.

Orioles Key Players to Watch

The Orioles’ Kremer (5-1) will make his 10th start of the season.

Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles with 35 runs batted in.

Adley Rutschman is batting .279 with seven doubles, seven home runs and 37 walks.

Ryan Mountcastle leads the Orioles with 10 home runs.

Adam Frazier is batting .244 with five doubles, a triple, five home runs and 17 walks.

Blue Jays and Orioles Injuries

Blue Jays: Zach Pop: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Adam Cimber: 15 Day IL (Rhomboid), Mitchell White: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Santiago Espinal: day-to-day (Hamstring)

Orioles: Ramón Urías: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Dillon Tate: 15 Day IL (Elbow), John Means: 60 Day IL (Elbow)