Braves vs. Mariners Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, May 21, 2023

The Atlanta Braves (28-17) host the Seattle Mariners (22-23) Sunday to close out a three-game series. The Braves are favored (-118) to win the rubber match, which starts at 1:35 PM ET from Truist Park.

Atlanta’s Jared Shuster and Seattle’s George Kirby have been named the starters for this contest.

Braves vs. Mariners Odds

  • Braves odds to win: -118
  • Mariners odds to win: -101
  • Spread: Braves -1.5
  • Total: 9.5 runs
  • Braves vs. Mariners Promo Codes

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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Sunday, May 21, 2023
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • TV: MLB Network
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    Who Will Win Braves vs. Mariners?

    Braves and Mariners Betting Trends

    The Braves have gone 24-14 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 63.2% of those games).

    When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -118 or shorter, Atlanta has a record of 24-10 (70.6%).

    This season, the Mariners have won six out of the 15 games, or 40%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

    Seattle has entered 12 games this season as the underdog by -101 or more and is 6-6 in those contests.

    The Braves have played in 45 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 27 times (27-17-1).

    Games involving the Mariners have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 22 of 45 chances this season.

    Braves Stats & Insights

    The Braves score the fifth-most runs in baseball (237 total, 5.3 per game).

    Atlanta is second in baseball with 76 home runs. They average 1.7 per game.

    The Braves have the 10th-best batting average in the league (.258).

    Atlanta strikes out 8.9 times per game, the No. 18 average in the majors.

    The Braves pitching staff ranks third in MLB with a collective 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Atlanta’s 3.55 team ERA ranks fourth among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Mariners Stats & Insights

    The Mariners have scored the 15th-most runs in the league this season with 200 (4.4 per game).

    Seattle’s 46 home runs rank 21st in Major League Baseball.

    The Mariners rank 27th in MLB with a team batting average of just .228.

    Seattle ranks 28th in strikeouts per game (9.7) among MLB offenses.

    The Mariners have an 8.9 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 11th in the majors.

    Seattle pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.63 ERA this year, fifth-best in baseball.

    Braves Key Players to Watch

    Shuster makes the start for the Braves, his fourth of the season. He is 0-2 with a 7.24 ERA and eight strikeouts through 13 2/3 innings pitched.

    Ronald Acuna Jr. leads Atlanta with a batting average of .347. He’s also hit 11 home runs with 27 RBI.

    Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs with 13 and runs batted in with 34.

    Sean Murphy leads Atlanta in runs batted in (34) this season. He has a .274 batting average and a .563 slugging percentage.

    Ozzie Albies has 46 hits and an OBP of .307 to go with a slugging percentage of .494 this season.

    Mariners Key Players to Watch

    Kirby (5-2) will take to the mound for the Mariners and make his ninth start of the season.

    Ty France is batting .259 with 13 doubles, two home runs and 13 walks.

    Jarred Kelenic’s eight home runs and .287 batting average are both team-highs.

    Julio Rodriguez has eight doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 17 walks while batting .209.

    J.P. Crawford is hitting .252 with 10 doubles, a home run and 27 walks.

    Braves and Mariners Injuries

    Braves: Max Fried: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Dylan Lee: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Ehire Adrianza: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kyle Wright: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Mariners: Dylan Moore: 10 Day IL (Olique), Penn Murfee: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Easton McGee: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Andres Munoz: 15 Day IL (Deltoid), Robbie Ray: 15 Day IL (Flexor), Evan White: 60 Day IL (Adductor)

    Braves vs. Mariners Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Mariners 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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