Braves vs. Dodgers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, May 22, 2023

May 22, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Ronald Acuna Jr., batting .344 this season, leads the Atlanta Braves (29-17) into a matchup with Freddie Freeman (.326 AVG) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (29-19). The Braves are -155 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Truist Park, beginning at 7:20 PM ET live on BSSO.

Charlie Morton will get the ball for Atlanta while Los Angeles will counter with Gavin Stone.

Braves vs. Dodgers Odds

Braves odds to win: -155
Dodgers odds to win: +133
Spread: Braves -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, May 22, 2023
Time: 7:20 PM ET
TV: BSSO

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Who Will Win Braves vs. Dodgers?

Braves and Dodgers Betting Trends

The Braves are 25-14 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 64.1% of those games).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -155 or shorter, Atlanta has a 14-5 record (winning 73.7% of its games).

This season, the Dodgers have been the underdog five times and won two of those games.

Los Angeles has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +133 moneyline set for this game.

The Braves have played in 46 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 27 times (27-18-1).

The Dodgers’ games have gone over the total in 26 of their 48 chances.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves have the No. 7 offense in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game (240 total runs).

Atlanta ranks second-best in MLB play with 77 total home runs.

The Braves are 10th in the majors with a .257 batting average.

Atlanta strikes out 8.9 times per game to rank 17th in MLB.

The Braves pitching staff is second in the majors with a collective 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

Atlanta’s 3.51 team ERA ranks fourth among all MLB pitching staffs.

Dodgers Stats & Insights

The Dodgers have scored 260 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB.

Los Angeles ranks third in Major League Baseball with 76 home runs.

The Dodgers’ .233 batting average ranks 23rd in the league this season.

Los Angeles ranks just 26th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.9 whiffs per contest.

The Dodgers have an 8.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 16th in the majors.

Los Angeles pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.29 ERA this year, which ranks 16th in MLB.

Braves Key Players to Watch

Morton (5-3) takes the mound for the Braves in his ninth start of the season. He’s put together a 2.85 ERA in 47 1/3 innings pitched, with 49 strikeouts.

Acuna leads Atlanta with a .344 batting average. He’s also hit 11 homers and has 27 RBI.

Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs (13) and runs batted in (35) this season while batting .244.

Sean Murphy is slashing .274/.399/.563 this season for the Braves.

Ozzie Albies has 46 hits and an OBP of .302 to go with a slugging percentage of .486 this season.

Dodgers Key Players to Watch

The Dodgers will send out Stone for his first start of the season.

Freeman leads the Dodgers with a team-best batting average of .326.

Mookie Betts is batting .250 with 13 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 28 walks.

Max Muncy paces the Dodgers with 15 home runs and 33 runs batted in.

Will Smith is hitting .311 with six doubles, seven home runs and 21 walks.

Braves and Dodgers Injuries

Braves: Max Fried: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Dylan Lee: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Kyle Wright: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ehire Adrianza: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Dodgers: Julio Urías: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Dustin May: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Michael Grove: 15 Day IL (Groin), Jimmy Nelson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Daniel Hudson: 60 Day IL (Knee), Walker Buehler: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Álex Reyes: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), J.P. Feyereisen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Blake Treinen: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ryan Pepiot: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Gavin Lux: 60 Day IL (Knee)