Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Monday, May 22, 2023

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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, May 22, 2023

MLB Predictions

The Arizona Diamondbacks (27-20), led by Lourdes Gurriel Jr. on an 11-game hitting streak, will meet the Philadelphia Phillies (22-24) Monday at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies are -227 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 6:40 PM ET on NBCS-PH.

Zack Wheeler will get the ball for Philadelphia while Arizona will counter with Tommy Henry.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -227
  • Diamondbacks odds to win: +188
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Monday, May 22, 2023
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET

Who Will Win Phillies vs. Diamondbacks?

Phillies and Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Phillies have gone 17-13 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 56.7% of those games).

Philadelphia has played as moneyline favorites of -227 or shorter in just two games this season, which it won both.

The Diamondbacks have entered the game as underdogs 27 times this season and won 15, or 55.6%, of those games.

Arizona has played as an underdog of +188 or more twice this season and split those games.

The Phillies have played in 46 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 20 times (20-24-2).

So far this season, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have hit the over in 24 of their 47 games with a total.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies rank 21st in runs scored with 198, 4.3 per game.

Philadelphia averages one home run per game to rank 20th in MLB play with 48 total home runs .

The Phillies have the ninth-best batting average in the league (.260).

Philadelphia’s nine strikeouts per game rank 21st in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Phillies has a collective 9.6 K/9, the fourth-best in the majors.

Philadelphia’s 4.61 team ERA ranks 22nd across all MLB pitching staffs.

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

The Diamondbacks have scored the sixth-most runs in the league this season with 242.

Arizona’s 52 home runs rank 16th in Major League Baseball.

The Diamondbacks’ .267 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking fourth in MLB.

Arizona has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the fourth-best strikeout rate (7.7 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Diamondbacks strike out 8.3 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 24th in MLB.

Arizona has the 22nd-ranked ERA (4.61) in the majors this season.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

The Phillies are sending Wheeler (3-3) to the mound for his 10th start of the season. He is 3-3 with a 4.06 ERA and 61 strikeouts in 51 2/3 innings pitched.

Nicholas Castellanos leads Philadelphia with a batting average of .303. He’s also hit five home runs with 26 RBI.

Alec Bohm leads Philadelphia in runs batted in (32) this season. He’s batting .263 while slugging .398.

Bryson Stott has collected 53 base hits, an OBP of .321 and a slugging percentage of .397 this season.

Kyle Schwarber’s 11 home runs are most among Philadelphia batters. He’s driven in 23 runs this season while slugging .404.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

Henry (1-1) will take the mound for the Diamondbacks, his sixth start of the season.

Christian Walker paces the Diamondbacks with 11 home runs and 34 runs batted in.

Gurriel’s .304 batting average paces his team.

Corbin Carroll is batting .291 with 11 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 21 walks.

Ketel Marte is hitting .278 with eight doubles, three triples, six home runs and 14 walks.

Phillies and Diamondbacks Injuries

Phillies: Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), José Alvarado: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Darick Hall: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Diamondbacks: Kyle Lewis: 10 Day IL (Illness), Joe Mantiply: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Anthony Misiewicz: 15 Day IL (Calf), Zach Davies: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Cole Sulser: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Carson Kelly: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Mark Melancon: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat)

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Diamondbacks 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
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    Author: Matt Rooney

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.