Twins vs. Giants Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, May 22, 2023

May 22, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Coming off of a 1-2 series loss to the Angels, the Minnesota Twins (25-22) are -161 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a three-game series against the San Francisco Giants (22-24). The series begins at Target Field, starting on Monday at 7:40 PM ET on Fox Sports 1.

Minnesota’s Bailey Ober gets the start, and he’ll go against San Francisco’s John Brebbia.

Twins vs. Giants Odds

Twins odds to win: -161
Giants odds to win: +138
Spread: Twins -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, May 22, 2023
Time: 7:40 PM ET
TV: Fox Sports 1

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Who Will Win Twins vs. Giants?

Twins and Giants Betting Trends

The Twins have won 20 of the 30 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (66.7%).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -161 or shorter, Minnesota has a record of 7-4 (63.6%).

This season, the Giants have been the underdog 23 times and won 11, or 47.8%, of those games.

San Francisco has a record of 1-4 when it’s set as an underdog of +138 or more by oddsmakers this season.

The Twins have combined with opponents to go over the total 20 times this season for a 20-23-4 record against the over/under.

The Giants’ games have gone over the total in 21 of their 46 chances.

Twins Stats & Insights

The Twins rank 12th in runs scored with 219, 4.7 per game.

Minnesota ranks seventh-best in baseball with 63 total home runs.

The Twins have the 24th-ranked batting average in the league (.231).

Minnesota’s 9.7 strikeouts per game are the most in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Twins has a collective 9.9 K/9 to pace MLB.

Minnesota’s 3.42 team ERA ranks third among all MLB pitching staffs.

Giants Stats & Insights

The Giants have scored 201 runs (4.4 per game) this season, which ranks 19th in MLB.

San Francisco ranks sixth in Major League Baseball with 65 home runs.

The Giants’ .241 batting average ranks 20th in the league this season.

San Francisco ranks 27th in strikeouts per game (9.6) among MLB offenses.

The Giants strike out 8.6 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 16th in MLB.

San Francisco has pitched to a 4.40 ERA this season, which ranks 18th in baseball.

Twins Key Players to Watch

The Twins will send Ober (3-0) out for his sixth start of the season. He is 3-0 with a 1.78 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 30 1/3 innings pitched.

Byron Buxton leads Minnesota with a batting average of .235. He’s also hit nine home runs with 21 RBI.

Carlos Correa has collected 34 hits this season and has an OBP of .298. He’s slugging .388 on the year.

Joey Gallo is slugging .569 this season, with a team-high 11 home runs. He’s also collected 23 RBI.

Trevor Larnach leads Minnesota in runs batted in (27) this season. He’s batting .215 while slugging .392.

Giants Key Players to Watch

The Giants will send Brebbia to the mound for his third start of the season.

Thairo Estrada leads the Giants with a .309 batting average.

LaMonte Wade Jr is hitting .258 with four doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 32 walks.

J.D. Davis has racked up a team-best eight home runs and 25 runs batted in.

Michael Conforto has hit eight home runs to pace his team.

Twins and Giants Injuries

Twins: Max Kepler: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Jorge Polanco: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Nick Gordon: 10 Day IL (Shin), Kenta Maeda: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Jorge Alcala: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Caleb Thielbar: 15 Day IL (Oblique strain), Tyler Mahle: 60 Day IL (Arm), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Giants: Joc Pederson: 10 Day IL (Hand), Joey Bart: 10 Day IL (Groin), Austin Slater: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Ross Stripling: 15 Day IL (Back), Roberto Pérez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Heliot Ramos: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Luke Jackson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis González: 60 Day IL (Back), Thomas Szapucki: 60 Day IL (Left arm), Logan Webb: day-to-day (Back)