Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Tuesday, May 23, 2023

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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 23, 2023

MLB Predictions

Following a four-hit effort last time out, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. leads the Arizona Diamondbacks (28-20) into action as +134 underdogs against the Philadelphia Phillies (22-25). The game gets underway from Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday, live on NBCS-PH.

Matt Strahm takes the mound for Philadelphia while Ryne Nelson is Arizona’s starter for the contest.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -156
  • Diamondbacks odds to win: +134
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 9.5 runs

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

  • Date: Tuesday, May 23, 2023
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • TV: NBCS-PH

Who Will Win Phillies vs. Diamondbacks?

Phillies and Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Phillies are 17-14 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 54.8% of those games).

Philadelphia has a 6-7 record (winning 46.2% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -156 or shorter.

The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 28 games this season and won 16 (57.1%) of those contests.

Arizona has a record of 5-4 in games where bookmakers have it as underdogs of at least +134 on the moneyline.

In the 47 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Phillies, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 20 times (20-24-3).

The Diamondbacks and their opponents have hit the over in 24 of their 48 games with a total this season.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies rank 21st in runs scored with 201, 4.3 per game.

Philadelphia is 19th in baseball with 50 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Phillies’ .258 batting average is ninth-best in the majors.

Philadelphia’s 9.1 strikeouts per game rank 22nd in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Phillies has a collective 9.5 K/9, the fourth-best in MLB.

Philadelphia has the 23rd-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.60).

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

The Diamondbacks have scored the sixth-most runs in the league this season with 248.

Arizona’s 54 home runs rank 14th in Major League Baseball.

The Diamondbacks’ .267 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking third in MLB.

Arizona is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking fourth with an average of 7.6 strikeouts per game.

The Diamondbacks have an 8.4 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 23rd in the majors.

Arizona pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.57 ERA this year, which ranks 22nd in MLB.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

Strahm (4-3) takes the mound for the Phillies in his seventh start of the season. He has a 2.73 ERA in 33 2/3 innings pitched, with 47 strikeouts.

Nicholas Castellanos leads Philadelphia in batting average (.295) this season while adding five home runs and 26 RBI.

Alec Bohm leads Philadelphia in runs batted in with 32 while batting .257 with five homers.

Bryson Stott has 54 hits this season and a slash line of .289/.325/.412.

Kyle Schwarber’s 12 home runs are most among Philadelphia batters. He’s driven in 24 runs this season while slugging .421.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

The Diamondbacks will hand the ball to Nelson (1-2) for his 10th start of the season.

Gurriel leads the Diamondbacks with a .321 batting average.

Christian Walker has put his power on display as he paces his team with 11 home runs and 34 RBI.

Corbin Carroll has 11 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 21 walks while hitting .281.

Ketel Marte is hitting .277 with eight doubles, three triples, six home runs and 15 walks.

Phillies and Diamondbacks Injuries

Phillies: Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), José Alvarado: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Darick Hall: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Diamondbacks: Kyle Lewis: 10 Day IL (Illness), Anthony Misiewicz: 15 Day IL (Calf), Joe Mantiply: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Zach Davies: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Cole Sulser: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Carson Kelly: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Mark Melancon: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat)

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Diamondbacks 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
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    Author: Matt Rooney

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.