Astros vs. Brewers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 24, 2023

May 24, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Houston Astros (28-20) and the Milwaukee Brewers (26-22) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Wednesday at 1:10 PM ET. The Astros are -110 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Brewers (-109).

Houston’s Brandon Bielak gets the start, and he’ll go against Milwaukee’s Adrian Houser.

Astros vs. Brewers Odds

Astros odds to win: -110
Brewers odds to win: -109
Spread: Astros -1.5
Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 24, 2023
Time: 1:10 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Astros vs. Brewers?

Astros and Brewers Betting Trends

The Astros have been the moneyline favorite 33 total times this season. They’ve finished 18-15 in those games.

Houston has gone 19-15 (winning 55.9% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -110 or shorter.

The Brewers have won 11, or 52.4%, of the 21 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Milwaukee has a record of 11-10 in games where bookmakers have it as underdogs of at least -109 on the moneyline.

The Astros have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 23 times this season for a 23-24-1 record against the over/under.

The Brewers and their opponents have hit the over in 22 of their 48 games with a total this season.

Astros Stats & Insights

The Astros are the 16th-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 4.4 runs per game (213 total).

Houston averages 0.9 home runs per game to rank 23rd in baseball with 45 total home runs .

The Astros rank 15th in MLB with a .246 batting average.

Houston’s batters strike out 8.1 times per game, the sixth-fewest strikeouts in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Astros has a collective 9.8 K/9, the second-best in the majors.

Houston’s 3.23 team ERA ranks first across all MLB pitching staffs.

Brewers Stats & Insights

The Brewers have scored the 23rd-most runs in the league this season with 201 (4.2 per game).

Milwaukee ranks 12th in Major League Baseball with 59 home runs.

The Brewers have a team batting average of .239 this season, which ranks 20th among MLB teams.

Milwaukee ranks 24th with an average of 9.3 strikeouts per game.

The Brewers average the 25th-most strikeouts per nine innings (7.9) in the league this season.

Milwaukee pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.09 ERA this year, which ranks 14th in MLB.

Astros Key Players to Watch

Bielak gets the start for the Astros, his fourth of the season. He is 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 19 strikeouts through 18 2/3 innings pitched.

Yordan Alvarez is batting .303 this season with a team-high 12 home runs and 46 RBI.

Kyle Tucker has 47 hits and an OBP of .359 to go with a slugging percentage of .453 this season.

Alex Bregman is slashing .219/.327/.355 this season for the Astros.

Jeremy Pena has collected 46 hits this season and has an OBP of .291. He’s slugging .414 on the year.

Brewers Key Players to Watch

The Brewers will hand the ball to Houser (0-0) for his fourth start of the season.

Christian Yelich paces the Brewers with a team-best batting average of .259.

Rowdy Tellez has shown his power as he leads his team with 12 home runs.

Brian Anderson has a team-best 27 runs batted in.

Willy Adames is batting .203 with five doubles, eight home runs and 22 walks.

Astros and Brewers Injuries

Astros: Michael Brantley: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Jose Urquidy: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Garcia: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Lance McCullers Jr.: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Jose Altuve: day-to-day (Illness)

Brewers: Louis Linwood Voit III: 10 Day IL (Neck), Eric Lauer: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Wade Miley: 15 Day IL (Lat strain), J.B. Bukauskas: 15 Day IL (Spine), Matt Bush: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Brandon Woodruff: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Garrett Mitchell: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Urías: 60 Day IL (Hamstring), Jason Alexander: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Wilson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Aaron Ashby: 60 Day IL (Labrum)