Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 24, 2023

May 24, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Arizona Diamondbacks (29-20) will look to complete a series sweep as they take a 2-0 lead into their final matchup against the Philadelphia Phillies (22-26) at 1:05 PM ET Wednesday from Citizens Bank Park. The Diamondbacks are favored (-111) by oddsmakers.

Arizona’s Zac Gallen and Philadelphia’s Ranger Suarez have been named the starters for this contest.

Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Odds

Diamondbacks odds to win: -111
Phillies odds to win: -109
Spread: Diamondbacks -1.5
Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, May 24, 2023
Time: 1:05 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Diamondbacks vs. Phillies?

Diamondbacks and Phillies Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have won 12 of the 20 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (60%).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -111 or shorter, Arizona has a 12-8 record (winning 60% of its games).

This season, the Phillies have been the underdog 16 times and won five, or 31.2%, of those games.

Philadelphia has a record of 5-11, a 31.2% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of -109 or more by sportsbooks this season.

In the 49 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Diamondbacks, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 24 times (24-22-3).

The Phillies and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 20 of their 48 opportunities.

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

The Diamondbacks score the sixth-most runs in baseball (252 total, 5.1 per game).

Arizona averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank 15th in baseball with 55 total home runs .

The Diamondbacks’ .267 batting average is third-best in the majors.

Arizona strikes out 7.7 times per game to rank fourth in the majors.

The pitching staff for the Diamondbacks has a collective 8.3 K/9, which ranks 24th in MLB.

Arizona has the 22nd-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.54).

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies have scored the 22nd-most runs in the league this season with 204 (4.3 per game).

Philadelphia ranks 21st in Major League Baseball with 50 home runs.

The Phillies have a team batting average of .257 this season, which ranks 10th among MLB teams.

Philadelphia ranks 20th in strikeouts per game (nine) among MLB offenses.

The Phillies average 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, fourth-most in the league.

Philadelphia has the 23rd-ranked ERA (4.59) in the majors this season.

Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

Gallen (6-2 with a 2.95 ERA and 72 strikeouts in 61 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Diamondbacks, his 11th of the season.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. leads Arizona with a .317 batting average. He’s also hit eight homers and has 27 RBI.

Christian Walker leads Arizona in home runs with 11 and runs batted in with 34.

Corbin Carroll has 46 hits this season and a slash line of .293/.385/.522.

Ketel Marte has collected 49 hits this season and has an OBP of .340. He’s slugging .466 on the year.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

The Phillies will send Suarez to the mound for his third start of the season.

Nicholas Castellanos leads the Phillies with a .296 batting average.

Alec Bohm has collected 33 runs batted in to lead his team.

Bryson Stott is batting .283 with eight doubles, five home runs and 10 walks.

Kyle Schwarber’s 12 home runs are a team-high mark.

Diamondbacks and Phillies Injuries

Diamondbacks: Kyle Lewis: 10 Day IL (Illness), Joe Mantiply: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Anthony Misiewicz: 15 Day IL (Calf), Zach Davies: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Cole Sulser: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Carson Kelly: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Mark Melancon: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat)

Phillies: Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), José Alvarado: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Noah Song: 15 Day IL (Back), Darick Hall: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl), Brandon Marsh: day-to-day (Shoulder)