Marlins vs. Rockies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, May 25, 2023

May 25, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Thursday when the Miami Marlins (25-25) and Colorado Rockies (21-29) take to the field at 3:10 PM ET, live on SportsNet RM. Luis Arraez is batting .371 for the Marlins (-122 favorites on the moneyline) while Elias Diaz leads the underdog Rockies (+103) with a .343 average.

Miami’s Braxton Garrett gets the start, and he’ll go against Colorado’s Kyle Freeland.

Marlins vs. Rockies Odds

Marlins odds to win: -122
Rockies odds to win: +103
Spread: Marlins -1.5
Total: 11 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, May 25, 2023
Time: 3:10 PM ET
TV: SportsNet RM

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Who Will Win Marlins vs. Rockies?

Marlins and Rockies Betting Trends

The Marlins have won 12 of the 22 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (54.5%).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -122 or shorter, Miami has gone 9-6 (60%).

The Rockies have entered the game as underdogs 41 times this season and won 18, or 43.9%, of those games.

Colorado has a record of 16-23 in games where sportsbooks have it as underdogs of at least +103 on the moneyline.

In the 49 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Marlins, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 21 times (21-26-2).

The Rockies and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of their 50 opportunities.

Marlins Stats & Insights

The Marlins score the fourth-fewest runs in baseball (181 total, 3.6 per game).

Miami ranks 23rd in MLB action with 47 total home runs.

The Marlins rank 11th in MLB with a .254 batting average.

Miami strikes out 8.4 times per game to rank 10th in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Marlins has a collective 9.3 K/9, the sixth-best in MLB.

Miami has a 4.42 team ERA that ranks 21st across all MLB pitching staffs.

Rockies Stats & Insights

The Rockies have scored the 15th-most runs in the league this season with 220 (4.4 per game).

Colorado’s 39 home runs rank 27th in MLB this season.

The Rockies’ .253 batting average ranks 13th in the league this season.

Colorado ranks 15th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.5 Ks per contest.

The Rockies average just 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, which ranks 27th in the league.

Colorado pitchers have a combined ERA of 5.02 ERA this year, which ranks 27th in MLB.

Marlins Key Players to Watch

Garrett gets the start for the Marlins, his ninth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 4.60 ERA and 44 strikeouts in 43 2/3 innings pitched.

Jorge Soler is batting .251 this season with a team-high 14 home runs and 30 RBI.

Arraez is batting .371 to lead Miami this season.

Bryan De La Cruz has 49 hits this season and a slash line of .297/.343/.448.

Jon Berti has 40 hits and an OBP of .325 to go with a slugging percentage of .354 this season.

Rockies Key Players to Watch

Freeland (4-5) will take to the mound for the Rockies and make his 11th start of the season.

Diaz paces the Rockies with 25 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .343.

Charlie Blackmon is batting .276 with 12 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 19 walks.

Jurickson Profar is hitting .250 with 12 doubles, five home runs and 21 walks.

Kris Bryant is batting .281 with six doubles, five home runs and 17 walks.

Marlins and Rockies Injuries

Marlins: Jesús Sánchez: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Back), Jazz Chisholm: 10 Day IL (Toe), A.J. Puk: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), Johnny Cueto: 60 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Nic Enright: 60 Day IL (Illness), Luis Arraez: day-to-day (Leg)

Rockies: C.J. Cron: 10 Day IL (Back), Ryan Feltner: 15 Day IL (Skull), Dinelson Lamet: 15 Day IL (Back), Nick Mears: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Antonio Senzatela: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Noah Davis: 15 Day IL (Elbow), German Márquez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Ryan Rolison: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Lucas Gilbreath: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Brendan Rodgers: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Tyler Kinley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Sean Bouchard: 60 Day IL (Biceps)