Braves vs. Phillies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 26, 2023

May 26, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The Atlanta Braves (31-19) will look to Austin Riley, who is coming off a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies (23-27) Friday at 7:20 PM ET on MLB Network. The Braves are -153 favorites for the contest, according to sportsbooks.

Jared Shuster will get the ball for Atlanta while Philadelphia will counter with Taijuan Walker.

Braves vs. Phillies Odds

Braves odds to win: -153
Phillies odds to win: +132
Spread: Braves -1.5
Total: 10 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, May 26, 2023
Time: 7:20 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Braves vs. Phillies?

Braves and Phillies Betting Trends

The Braves have won 61.9% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (26-16).

Atlanta has gone 14-8 (winning 63.6% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -153 or shorter.

This season, the Phillies have been the underdog 16 times and won five, or 31.2%, of those games.

Philadelphia has a record of 1-4 in games where sportsbooks have it as underdogs of at least +132 on the moneyline.

The Braves have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 50 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 30 of those games (30-19-1).

The Phillies and their opponents have hit the over in 22 of their 50 games with a total this season.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves have the No. 6 offense in MLB action scoring 5.2 runs per game (259 total runs).

Atlanta averages 1.7 home runs per game to rank second in baseball with 83 total home runs.

The Braves have the 11th-ranked batting average in the majors (.256).

Atlanta strikes out 8.8 times per game to rank 18th in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Braves has a collective 9.8 K/9, the second-best in MLB.

Atlanta has the fourth-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.68).

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies have scored 215 runs (4.3 per game) this season, which ranks 18th in MLB.

Philadelphia has hit 53 homers this season, which ranks 20th in the majors.

The Phillies have a team batting average of .259 this season, which ranks 10th among MLB teams.

Philadelphia ranks 21st in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of nine Ks per contest.

The Phillies average 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, fourth-most in the league.

Philadelphia has the 24th-ranked ERA (4.66) in the majors this season.

Braves Key Players to Watch

Shuster makes the start for the Braves, his fifth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 5.49 ERA and 15 strikeouts in 19 2/3 innings pitched.

Ronald Acuna Jr. leads Atlanta with a batting average of .332. He’s also hit 11 home runs with 27 RBI.

Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs with 14 and runs batted in with 37.

Sean Murphy has collected 40 base hits, an OBP of .394 and a slugging percentage of .541 this season.

Ozzie Albies has 50 hits and an OBP of .303 to go with a slugging percentage of .477 this season.

Phillies Key Players to Watch

The Phillies will hand the ball to Walker (3-2) for his 11th start of the season.

Alec Bohm paces the Phillies with 37 runs batted in.

Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .294 to pace his team.

Bryson Stott is hitting .289 with nine doubles, five home runs and 10 walks.

Kyle Schwarber has hit 12 home runs to lead his team.

Braves and Phillies Injuries

Braves: Michael Tonkin: 15 Day IL (Neck), Max Fried: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Dylan Lee: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Kyle Wright: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ehire Adrianza: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Phillies: Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), José Alvarado: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Darick Hall: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Noah Song: 60 Day IL (Back), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)