Mariners vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 26, 2023

May 26, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

Following a two-homer game in a win over the Athletics, Ty France leads the Seattle Mariners (26-24) into action as -158 favorites against the Pittsburgh Pirates (25-24). First pitch from T-Mobile Park at 10:10 PM ET on Friday, live on ROOT Sports NW.

Seattle’s George Kirby gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Mitch Keller.

Mariners vs. Pirates Odds

Mariners odds to win: -158
Pirates odds to win: +135
Spread: Mariners -1.5
Total: 7 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, May 26, 2023
Time: 10:10 PM ET
TV: ROOT Sports NW

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Who Will Win Mariners vs. Pirates?

Mariners and Pirates Betting Trends

The Mariners are 20-14 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 58.8% of those games).

Seattle has gone 12-5 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -158 or shorter (70.6% winning percentage).

This season, the Pirates have won 16 out of the 36 games, or 44.4%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

Pittsburgh is 6-7 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +135 or more on the moneyline.

The Mariners have had an over/under set by bookmakers 50 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 23 of those games (23-25-2).

The Pirates and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 22 of their 49 opportunities.

Mariners Stats & Insights

The Mariners are the 15th-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.5 runs per game (225 total).

Seattle ranks 18th in baseball with 55 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.

The Mariners are 25th in MLB with a .229 batting average.

Seattle strikes out 9.6 times per game, the fourth-worst average in MLB.

The 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Mariners pitching staff ranks 12th in the majors.

Seattle has a 3.47 team ERA that ranks third among all MLB pitching staffs.

Pirates Stats & Insights

The Pirates have scored 212 runs (4.3 per game) this season, which ranks 22nd in MLB.

Pittsburgh ranks 25th in Major League Baseball with 43 home runs.

The Pirates have a team batting average of .244 this season, which ranks 16th among MLB teams.

Pittsburgh ranks seventh in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.3 Ks per contest.

The Pirates strike out 8.9 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 12th in MLB.

Pittsburgh has pitched to a 3.79 ERA this season, which ranks eighth in baseball.

Mariners Key Players to Watch

Kirby gets the start for the Mariners, his 10th of the season. He is 5-3 with a 2.62 ERA and 47 strikeouts through 58 1/3 innings pitched.

France has been key for Seattle with five home runs, 23 RBI and a batting average of .266 this season.

Jarred Kelenic is batting .284 this season with 10 home runs and 25 RBI.

Julio Rodriguez is slashing .227/.298/.399 this season for the Mariners.

J.P. Crawford is batting .244 with an OBP of .360 and a slugging percentage of .344 this season.

Pirates Key Players to Watch

The Pirates will hand the ball to Keller (5-1) for his 11th start of the season.

Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates in runs batted in (28) and has put up a team-high batting average of .282.

Andrew McCutchen’s seven home runs lead his team.

Carlos Santana is batting .235 with 14 doubles, two home runs and 25 walks.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .232 with 12 doubles, three triples, a home run and 15 walks.

Mariners and Pirates Injuries

Mariners: Dylan Moore: 10 Day IL (Olique), Penn Murfee: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Robbie Ray: 15 Day IL (Flexor), Easton McGee: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Andres Munoz: 15 Day IL (Deltoid), Evan White: 60 Day IL (Adductor), A.J. Pollock: day-to-day (Leg)

Pirates: Vince Velásquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Oneil Cruz: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Ji-Man Choi: 60 Day IL (Achilles), Wil Crowe: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jarlin García: 60 Day IL (Arm), Max Kranick: 60 Day IL (Elbow), JT Brubaker: 60 Day IL (Elbow)