Padres vs. Yankees Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 26, 2023

May 26, 2023, by Matt Rooney MLB Predictions

The San Diego Padres (23-27), led by Rougned Odor on a two-game home run streak, are -115 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the New York Yankees (30-22). First pitch is set for 7:05 PM ET Friday, live from Yankee Stadium and airing on Apple TV+.

San Diego’s Joe Musgrove gets the start, and he’ll go against New York’s Randy Vasquez.

Padres vs. Yankees Odds

Padres odds to win: -115
Yankees odds to win: -104
Spread: Padres -1.5
Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, May 26, 2023
Time: 7:05 PM ET
TV: Apple TV+

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Who Will Win Padres vs. Yankees?

Padres and Yankees Betting Trends

The Padres have a 15-16 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 48.4% of those games).

San Diego has a 15-15 record (winning 50% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -115 or shorter.

The Yankees have entered the game as underdogs 14 times this season and won six, or 42.9%, of those games.

New York has a record of 6-8 in games where bookmakers have it as underdogs of at least -104 on the moneyline.

The Padres have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 50 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 16 of those games (16-31-3).

The Yankees and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 24 of their 52 opportunities.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres have the No. 25 offense in MLB play scoring four runs per game (200 total runs).

San Diego averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank 14th in baseball with 58 total home runs .

The Padres have the third-worst batting average in the majors (.223).

San Diego’s 8.9 strikeouts per game rank 20th in baseball.

The 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Padres pitching staff ranks 21st in MLB.

San Diego’s 3.98 team ERA ranks 10th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Yankees Stats & Insights

The Yankees have scored the 11th-most runs in the league this season with 239 (4.6 per game).

New York has hit 78 homers this season, which ranks fourth in the majors.

The Yankees rank 23rd in MLB with a .235 team batting average.

New York ranks 12th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.3 Ks per contest.

The Yankees strike out 9.1 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 10th-best in MLB.

New York has the sixth-best ERA (3.72) in the majors this season.

Padres Key Players to Watch

The Padres will send Musgrove (1-2) to the mound for his sixth start of the season. He is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 24 2/3 innings pitched.

Juan Soto is batting .262 with nine home runs and 22 RBI. All three of those stats rank first among San Diego hitters this season.

Xander Bogaerts has collected 47 hits this season and has an OBP of .347. He’s slugging .405 on the year.

Jake Cronenworth has 36 hits this season and a slash line of .211/.332/.380.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has 33 hits and an OBP of .304 to go with a slugging percentage of .461 this season.

Yankees Key Players to Watch

Vasquez will make his first start of the season for the Yankees.

Gleyber Torres is hitting .263 with eight doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 25 walks.

Aaron Judge’s 14 home runs and 33 runs batted in both lead his team.

Anthony Rizzo paces the Yankees with a team-best batting average of .301.

Anthony Volpe is hitting .199 with five doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 21 walks.

Padres and Yankees Injuries

Padres: Manny Machado: 10 Day IL (Hand), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Seth Lugo: 15 Day IL (Calf), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Pomeranz: 60 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Ha-Seong Kim: day-to-day (Leg)

Yankees: Josh Donaldson: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Jose Trevino: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Giancarlo Stanton: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Ian Hamilton: 15 Day IL (Groin), Carlos Rodón: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Jonathan Loaisiga: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Lou Trivino: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Gil: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Frankie Montás: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Scott Effross: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tommy Kahnle: 60 Day IL (Biceps)