Twins vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, May 26, 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays (26-25) are the underdogs on the moneyline (-109) in Friday’s contest with the Minnesota Twins (26-24). The game starts at 8:10 PM ET on BSN. The Blue Jays are favored against the spread in this one (1.5) with +160 odds.

Minnesota’s Louie Varland gets the start, and he’ll go against Toronto’s Kevin Gausman.

Twins vs. Blue Jays Odds

• Twins odds to win: -111
• Blue Jays odds to win: -109
• Spread: Blue Jays -1.5
• Total: 8 runs

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Game Time and Information

• Date: Friday, May 26, 2023
• Time: 8:10 PM ET
• TV: BSN

Who Will Win Twins vs. Blue Jays?

Twins and Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Twins have gone 21-12 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 63.6% of those games).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -111 or shorter, Minnesota has a record of 21-12 (63.6%).

This season, the Blue Jays have won eight out of the 16 games, or 50%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

Toronto has a record of 8-8, a 50% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of -109 or more by bookmakers this season.

In the 50 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Twins, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 21 times (21-25-4).

The Blue Jays’ games have gone over the total in 26 of their 51 chances.

Twins Stats & Insights

The Twins rank 13th in runs scored with 230, 4.6 per game.

Minnesota ranks sixth-best in baseball with 68 total home runs.

The Twins rank 27th in MLB with a .228 batting average.

Minnesota’s 9.9 strikeouts per game are the most in MLB.

The 10 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Twins pitching staff ranks first in MLB.

Minnesota’s 3.39 team ERA ranks second across all MLB pitching staffs.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays have scored 244 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB.

Toronto has hit 57 homers this season, which ranks 15th in the majors.

The Blue Jays’ .265 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking third in MLB.

Toronto ranks seventh in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of eight Ks per contest.

The Blue Jays strike out 9.3 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, sixth-best in MLB.

Toronto has pitched to a 4.02 ERA this season, which ranks 11th in baseball.

Twins Key Players to Watch

Varland gets the start for the Twins, his sixth of the season. He is 2-0 with a 4.18 ERA and 31 strikeouts in 28 2/3 innings pitched.

Byron Buxton leads Minnesota with a batting average of .238. He’s also hit 10 home runs with 23 RBI.

Carlos Correa is batting .213 with an OBP of .302 and a slugging percentage of .396 this season.

Joey Gallo is slugging .553 this season, with a team-high 11 home runs. He’s also collected 23 RBI.

Kyle Farmer has 23 hits and an OBP of .326 to go with a slugging percentage of .405 this season.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

Gausman (2-3) will take to the mound for the Blue Jays and make his 11th start of the season.

Bo Bichette has put up a team-best batting average of .326, and paces the Blue Jays in home runs (nine).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s 34 runs batted in pace his team.

Matt Chapman is batting .295 with 19 doubles, seven home runs and 22 walks.

George Springer has two doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 19 walks while hitting .245.

Twins and Blue Jays Injuries

Twins: Nick Gordon: 10 Day IL (Shin), Jorge Polanco: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Trevor Larnach: 10 Day IL (Pneumonia), Max Kepler: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Kenta Maeda: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Jorge Alcala: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Caleb Thielbar: 15 Day IL (Oblique strain), Tyler Mahle: 60 Day IL (Arm), Royce Lewis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Carlos Correa: day-to-day (Heel)

Blue Jays: Santiago Espinal: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Zach Pop: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Mitchell White: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Danny Jansen: day-to-day (Groin)

Twins vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Blue Jays 4

Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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