Astros vs. Twins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, May 29, 2023

The Houston Astros (31-21) and Yordan Alvarez (2 HR in his last game) are favored (-123) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Minnesota Twins (27-26) on Monday at 4:10 PM ET on MLB Network.

Houston’s J.P. France gets the start, and he’ll go against Minnesota’s Sonny Gray.

Astros vs. Twins Odds

  • Astros odds to win: -123
  • Twins odds to win: +104
  • Spread: Astros -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
  • Astros vs. Twins Promo Codes

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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Monday, May 29, 2023
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV: MLB Network
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    Who Will Win Astros vs. Twins?

    Astros and Twins Betting Trends

    The Astros have won 56.8% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (21-16).

    Houston has a 20-14 record (winning 58.8% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -123 or shorter.

    The Twins have won five, or 26.3%, of the 19 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    Minnesota has entered 13 games this season as the underdog by +104 or more and is 5-8 in those contests.

    The Astros have combined with opponents to go over the total 25 times this season for a 25-26-1 record against the over/under.

    Games involving the Twins have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 22 of 53 chances this season.

    Astros Stats & Insights

    The Astros have the No. 20 offense in MLB play scoring 4.5 runs per game (234 total runs).

    Houston averages one home run per game to rank 23rd in baseball with 53 total home runs .

    The Astros rank 17th in MLB with a .246 batting average.

    Houston’s hitters strike out eight times per game, the fifth-lowest average in the majors.

    The Astros pitching staff ranks second in MLB with a collective 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Houston’s 3.18 team ERA ranks first among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Twins Stats & Insights

    The Twins have scored 240 runs (4.5 per game) this season, which ranks 17th in MLB.

    Minnesota ranks seventh in Major League Baseball with 72 home runs.

    The Twins rank 25th in MLB with a .229 team batting average.

    Minnesota ranks last in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 10.1 whiffs per contest.

    The Twins strike out 9.9 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, first-best in MLB.

    Minnesota pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.43 ERA this year, second-best in baseball.

    Astros Key Players to Watch

    France gets the start for the Astros, his fifth of the season. He is 1-1 with a 3.43 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 21 2/3 innings pitched.

    Alvarez leads Houston in batting average (.291), home runs (14) and runs batted in (48) this season.

    Alex Bregman has 47 hits and an OBP of .333 to go with a slugging percentage of .370 this season.

    Kyle Tucker has 50 hits this season and a slash line of .276/.354/.442.

    Jeremy Pena is batting .247 with an OBP of .292 and a slugging percentage of .439 this season.

    Twins Key Players to Watch

    Gray (4-0) will take the mound for the Twins, his 11th start of the season.

    Byron Buxton paces the Twins with a team-high batting average of .225.

    Carlos Correa is hitting .216 with 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 24 walks.

    Joey Gallo has put up a team-high 11 home runs.

    Willi Castro has six doubles, four home runs and five walks while hitting .258.

    Astros and Twins Injuries

    Astros: Michael Brantley: 10 Day IL (Shoulder), Jose Urquidy: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Garcia: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Lance McCullers Jr.: 15 Day IL (Elbow)

    Twins: Trevor Larnach: 10 Day IL (Pneumonia), Jorge Polanco: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Kenta Maeda: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Caleb Thielbar: 15 Day IL (Oblique strain), Jorge Alcala: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Tyler Mahle: 60 Day IL (Arm), Nick Gordon: 60 Day IL (Shin), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Emilio Pagán: day-to-day (Undisclosed)

    Astros vs. Twins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Astros 5, Twins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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