Marlins vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 30, 2023

The Miami Marlins (28-26) will put their three-game win streak to the test when they host the San Diego Padres (24-29) Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET on BSFL. Bookmakers consider the Marlins -142 favorites to extend their streak, while the Padres are +122 underdogs looking for the upset.

Sandy Alcantara starts for Miami while Ryan Weathers is San Diego’s starter for the contest.

Marlins vs. Padres Odds

  • Marlins odds to win: -142
  • Padres odds to win: +122
  • Spread: Marlins -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
  • Marlins vs. Padres Promo Codes

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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Tuesday, May 30, 2023
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • TV: BSFL
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    Who Will Win Marlins vs. Padres?

    Marlins and Padres Betting Trends

    The Marlins have won 52.2% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (12-11).

    Miami has a 6-1 record (winning 85.7% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -142 or shorter.

    The Padres have entered the game as underdogs 21 times this season and won eight, or 38.1%, of those games.

    San Diego has entered six games this season as the underdog by +122 or more and is 1-5 in those contests.

    The Marlins have played in 53 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 23 times (23-28-2).

    Games involving the Padres have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 17 of 53 chances this season.

    Marlins Stats & Insights

    The Marlins score the fourth-fewest runs in baseball (203 total, 3.8 per game).

    Miami averages one home run per game to rank 24th in MLB action with 53 total home runs .

    The Marlins’ .258 batting average is ninth-best in MLB.

    Miami strikes out 8.6 times per game, the No. 13 mark in the majors.

    The pitching staff for the Marlins has a collective 9.3 K/9, the seventh-best in MLB.

    Miami has the 18th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.33).

    Padres Stats & Insights

    The Padres have scored the 25th-most runs in the league this season with 214 (four per game).

    San Diego’s 63 home runs rank 12th in Major League Baseball.

    The Padres have a team batting average of just .220 this season, which ranks last among MLB teams.

    San Diego ranks 18th in strikeouts per game (8.9) among MLB offenses.

    The Padres have an 8.5 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 18th in the majors.

    San Diego has the 10th-best ERA (4.01) in the majors this season.

    Marlins Key Players to Watch

    Alcantara makes the start for the Marlins, his 11th of the season. He is 2-5 with a 5.00 ERA and 57 strikeouts in 63 2/3 innings pitched.

    Jorge Soler leads Miami in home runs with 17 and runs batted in with 35.

    Luis Arraez leads Miami in batting with a .376 average.

    Bryan De La Cruz has 53 hits this season and a slash line of .291/.340/.445.

    Yuli Gurriel has 35 hits and an OBP of .351 to go with a slugging percentage of .441 this season.

    Padres Key Players to Watch

    The Padres will send Weathers (1-3) to the mound for his sixth start this season.

    Juan Soto has accumulated a team-high batting average of .261, and paces the Padres in home runs (10) and runs batted in (24).

    Xander Bogaerts has seven doubles, seven home runs and 25 walks while hitting .253.

    Jake Cronenworth is hitting .215 with eight doubles, three triples, six home runs and 30 walks.

    Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .246 with five doubles, nine home runs and 10 walks.

    Marlins and Padres Injuries

    Marlins: Jazz Chisholm: 10 Day IL (Toe), Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Back), A.J. Puk: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), Johnny Cueto: 60 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Padres: Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Manny Machado: 10 Day IL (Hand), Seth Lugo: 15 Day IL (Calf), Luís Garcia: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Pomeranz: 60 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

    Marlins vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Marlins 6, Padres 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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