Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, May 30, 2023

Led by Francisco Alvarez (two-game homer streak), the New York Mets (27-27) are favorites versus the Philadelphia Phillies (25-28) Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET. Sportsbooks have named the Mets as -150 favorites for the game, which airs on TBS.

New York’s Kodai Senga and Philadelphia’s Ranger Suarez have been named the starters for this contest.

Mets vs. Phillies Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -150
  • Phillies odds to win: +129
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
  • Mets vs. Phillies Promo Codes

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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Tuesday, May 30, 2023
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • TV: TBS
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    Who Will Win Mets vs. Phillies?

    Mets and Phillies Betting Trends

    The Mets have been the moneyline favorite 40 total times this season. They’ve finished 22-18 in those games.

    New York has gone 10-13 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -150 or shorter (43.5% winning percentage).

    This season, the Phillies have won seven out of the 19 games, or 36.8%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

    Philadelphia is 2-5 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +129 or more on the moneyline.

    The Mets have had an over/under set by bookmakers 53 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 26 of those games (26-26-1).

    Games involving the Phillies have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 23 of 53 chances this season.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets are the 16th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.5 runs per game (243 total).

    New York averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank 14th in MLB play with 62 total home runs .

    The Mets’ .247 batting average ranks 17th in MLB.

    New York strikes out 7.4 times per game to rank third in the majors.

    The 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Mets pitching staff ranks 18th in the majors.

    New York’s 4.78 team ERA ranks 25th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies have scored the 22nd-most runs in the league this season with 227 (4.3 per game).

    Philadelphia has hit 55 homers this season, which ranks 22nd in the majors.

    The Phillies rank 10th in MLB with a .257 team batting average.

    Philadelphia ranks 20th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of nine Ks per contest.

    The Phillies average 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, fifth-most in the league.

    Philadelphia pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.67 ERA this year, which ranks 23rd in MLB.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Senga (4-3 with a 3.94 ERA and 61 strikeouts in 48 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mets, his 10th of the season.

    Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs with 20 and runs batted in with 46.

    Brandon Nimmo is batting .306 to lead New York, while adding four homers and 21 runs batted in this season.

    Francisco Lindor has 48 hits this season and a slash line of .225/.295/.423.

    Jeff McNeil is batting .292 with an OBP of .370 and a slugging percentage of .365 this season.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    The Phillies will send Suarez (0-1) to the mound for his fourth start this season.

    Alec Bohm paces the Phillies with 37 runs batted in.

    Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .300 to pace his team.

    Bryson Stott has 10 doubles, five home runs and 12 walks while hitting .292.

    Kyle Schwarber has shown off his power as he paces his team with 13 home runs.

    Mets and Phillies Injuries

    Mets: Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Omar Narváez: 60 Day IL (Calf), Tim Locastro: 60 Day IL (Back), Stephen Ridings: 60 Day IL (Lat), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Elieser Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)

    Phillies: Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), José Alvarado: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Darick Hall: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Noah Song: 60 Day IL (Back), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

    Mets vs. Phillies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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    How to Bet on Mets vs. Phillies

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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