Padres vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, May 31, 2023

The San Diego Padres will take the field against the Miami Marlins (28-27) on Wednesday. The game begins at 6:40 PM ET on BSFL, with the Padres listed as -116 favorites on the moneyline.

Blake Snell will get the ball for San Diego while Miami will counter with Braxton Garrett.

Padres vs. Marlins Odds

  • Padres odds to win: -116
  • Marlins odds to win: -103
  • Spread: Padres -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
  • Padres vs. Marlins Promo Codes

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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Wednesday, May 31, 2023
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • TV: BSFL
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    Who Will Win Padres vs. Marlins?

    Padres and Marlins Betting Trends

    The Padres have won 50% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (16-16).

    San Diego has gone 15-15 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -116 or shorter (50% winning percentage).

    This season, the Marlins have been the underdog 30 times and won 15, or 50%, of those games.

    Miami has entered 27 games this season as the underdog by -103 or more and is 12-15 in those contests.

    The Padres have played in 54 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 18 times (18-33-3).

    The Marlins’ games have gone over the total in 24 of their 54 chances.

    Padres Stats & Insights

    The Padres rank 24th in runs scored with 223, 4.1 per game.

    San Diego is 14th in baseball with 63 total home runs.

    The Padres are 29th in MLB with a .222 batting average.

    San Diego’s 8.9 strikeouts per game rank 16th in the majors.

    The pitching staff for the Padres has a collective 8.5 K/9, which ranks 18th in the majors.

    San Diego has a 4.01 team ERA that ranks 10th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Marlins Stats & Insights

    The Marlins are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 27th with just 207 total runs (3.8 per game) this season.

    Miami ranks 24th in Major League Baseball with 54 home runs.

    The Marlins’ .259 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking eighth in MLB.

    Miami ranks 11th in strikeouts per game (8.6) among MLB offenses.

    The Marlins have a 9.2 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, eighth-best in baseball.

    Miami has pitched to a 4.38 ERA this season, which ranks 18th in baseball.

    Padres Key Players to Watch

    Snell (1-6) takes the mound for the Padres in his 11th start of the season. He has a 5.22 ERA in 50 2/3 innings pitched, with 54 strikeouts.

    Juan Soto is batting .268 with 10 home runs and 26 RBI. All three of those stats lead San Diego hitters this season.

    Xander Bogaerts is batting .256 with an OBP of .346 and a slugging percentage of .397 this season.

    Fernando Tatis Jr. is slashing .247/.297/.466 this season for the Padres.

    Jake Cronenworth has 39 hits and an OBP of .330 to go with a slugging percentage of .380 this season.

    Marlins Key Players to Watch

    The Marlins will hand the ball to Garrett (1-2) for his 10th start of the season.

    Jorge Soler has accumulated a team-best 17 home runs and 35 runs batted in.

    Luis Arraez has a club-high .376 batting average.

    Bryan De La Cruz has 10 doubles, seven home runs and 15 walks while batting .301.

    Yuli Gurriel has four doubles, two triples, three home runs and 12 walks while hitting .289.

    Padres and Marlins Injuries

    Padres: Manny Machado: 10 Day IL (Hand), Luis Campusano: 10 Day IL (Thumb sprain), Seth Lugo: 15 Day IL (Calf), Luís Garcia: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Nabil Crismatt: 15 Day IL (Hip strain), José Castillo: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Pomeranz: 60 Day IL (Elbow/flexor), Robert Suarez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adrian Morejon: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Eguy Rosario: 60 Day IL (Ankle)

    Marlins: Jazz Chisholm: 10 Day IL (Toe), Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Back), A.J. Puk: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), Johnny Cueto: 60 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Padres vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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