The Toronto Blue Jays (29-27) host the Milwaukee Brewers (29-26) Thursday to close out a three-game series. The Blue Jays are favored (-182) to win the rubber match, which starts at 1:07 PM ET from Rogers Centre.
Kevin Gausman starts for Toronto while Freddy Peralta is Milwaukee’s starter for the contest.
Blue Jays vs. Brewers Odds
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Who Will Win Blue Jays vs. Brewers?
Blue Jays and Brewers Betting Trends
The Blue Jays have been the moneyline favorite 39 total times this season. They’ve finished 21-18 in those games.
Toronto has a 7-4 record (winning 63.6% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -182 or shorter.
The Brewers have entered the game as underdogs 26 times this season and won 14, or 53.8%, of those games.
Milwaukee has played as an underdog of +156 or more twice this season and lost both games.
The Blue Jays have played in 56 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 27 times (27-26-3).
Games involving the Brewers have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 24 of 55 chances this season.
Blue Jays Stats & Insights
The Blue Jays rank 11th in runs scored with 266, 4.8 per game.
Toronto is 17th in MLB play with 62 home runs. They average 1.1 per game.
The Blue Jays rank third in the majors with a .265 batting average.
Toronto’s hitters strike out 7.8 times per game, the fifth-fewest strikeouts in MLB.
The 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Blue Jays pitching staff ranks fourth in MLB.
Toronto has a 3.95 team ERA that ranks ninth across all MLB pitching staffs.
Brewers Stats & Insights
The Brewers are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 26th with just 220 total runs (four per game) this season.
Milwaukee has hit 65 homers this season, which ranks 11th in the majors.
The Brewers have a team batting average of just .230 this season, which ranks 26th among MLB teams.
Milwaukee ranks 24th with an average of 9.2 strikeouts per game.
The Brewers have an eight K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 25th in the majors.
Milwaukee has pitched to a 4.13 ERA this season, which ranks 12th in baseball.
Blue Jays Key Players to Watch
Gausman (3-3 with a 3.03 ERA and 89 strikeouts in 68 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Blue Jays, his 12th of the season.
Bo Bichette is batting .329 with 11 home runs and 38 RBI. All three of those stats rank first among Toronto hitters this season.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .286 with an OBP of .349 and a slugging percentage of .457 this season.
George Springer has 53 hits this season and a slash line of .250/.321/.382.
Matt Chapman has collected 60 hits this season and has an OBP of .366. He’s slugging .490 on the year.
Brewers Key Players to Watch
The Brewers will hand the ball to Peralta (5-4) for his 11th start of the season.
Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with a .251 batting average.
Rowdy Tellez’s 12 home runs are a team-high mark.
Brian Anderson has racked up a team-high 30 runs batted in.
Owen Miller is batting .331 with 10 doubles, four home runs and six walks.
Blue Jays and Brewers Injuries
Blue Jays: Santiago Espinal: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Danny Jansen: 10 Day IL (Groin), Zach Pop: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Mitchell White: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow)
Brewers: Jesse Winker: 10 Day IL (Neck), Eric Lauer: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Wade Miley: 15 Day IL (Lat strain), J.B. Bukauskas: 15 Day IL (Spine), Matt Bush: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Brandon Woodruff: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Luis Urías: 60 Day IL (Hamstring), Garrett Mitchell: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jason Alexander: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Wilson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Aaron Ashby: 60 Day IL (Labrum), Willy Adames: 7 Day IL (Head)
Blue Jays vs. Brewers Prediction
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