Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, June 1, 2023

The Philadelphia Phillies (25-30) hope to avoid their fourth straight defeat when they visit the New York Mets (29-27) Thursday at 1:10 PM ET on MLB Network. The Mets are listed as -186 favorites, while the Phillies are +159 underdogs as they try to snap their losing skid.

New York’s Max Scherzer gets the start, and he’ll go against Philadelphia’s Taijuan Walker.

Mets vs. Phillies Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -186
  • Phillies odds to win: +159
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
  • Mets vs. Phillies Promo Codes

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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, June 1, 2023
  • Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • TV: MLB Network
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    Who Will Win Mets vs. Phillies?

    Mets and Phillies Betting Trends

    The Mets have a 23-18 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 56.1% of those games).

    New York has a 6-7 record (winning 46.2% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -186 or shorter.

    The Phillies have won seven, or 35%, of the 20 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    Philadelphia has played as an underdog of +159 or more once this season and lost that game.

    The Mets have had an over/under set by bookmakers 55 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 26 of those games (26-28-1).

    The Phillies and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 23 of their 55 opportunities.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets have the No. 17 offense in MLB action scoring 4.4 runs per game (249 total runs).

    New York averages 1.1 home runs per game to rank 14th in baseball with 64 total home runs .

    The Mets rank 17th in the majors with a .245 batting average.

    New York strikes out 7.3 times per game, the third-fewest mark in MLB.

    The pitching staff for the Mets has a collective 8.6 K/9, which ranks 17th in MLB.

    New York has a 4.62 team ERA that ranks 23rd among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies rank 23rd in the majors with 228 total runs scored this season.

    Philadelphia has hit 56 homers this season, which ranks 22nd in the majors.

    The Phillies’ .254 batting average ranks 12th in the league this season.

    Philadelphia ranks 20th with an average of 9.1 strikeouts per game.

    The Phillies have a 9.3 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, sixth-best in baseball.

    Philadelphia has pitched to a 4.63 ERA this season, which ranks 24th in baseball.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Scherzer (4-2 with a 3.54 ERA and 39 strikeouts in 40 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mets, his ninth of the season.

    Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs (20) and runs batted in (46) this season while batting .238.

    Francisco Lindor has 49 hits and an OBP of .294 to go with a slugging percentage of .427 this season.

    Brandon Nimmo’s batting average of .294 leads all New York hitters this season.

    Jeff McNeil is batting .288 with an OBP of .364 and a slugging percentage of .359 this season.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    Walker (4-2) will take to the mound for the Phillies and make his 12th start of the season.

    Alec Bohm has put up a team-high 37 runs batted in.

    Nicholas Castellanos’ .290 batting average leads his team.

    Bryson Stott has a team-high batting average of .290.

    Kyle Schwarber’s 13 home runs lead his team.

    Mets and Phillies Injuries

    Mets: Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Tim Locastro: 60 Day IL (Back), Omar Narváez: 60 Day IL (Calf), Stephen Ridings: 60 Day IL (Lat), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Elieser Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)

    Phillies: Alec Bohm: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), José Alvarado: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Darick Hall: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Noah Song: 60 Day IL (Back), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

    Mets vs. Phillies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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