Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, June 2, 2023

Jun 02, 2023

Following a big two-homer game in a win over the Dodgers, Keibert Ruiz leads the Washington Nationals (24-32) into action as +156 underdogs against the Philadelphia Phillies (25-31). First pitch from Nationals Park at 7:05 PM ET on Friday, live on MASN.

Zack Wheeler starts for Philadelphia while Josiah Gray is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Phillies vs. Nationals Odds

Phillies odds to win: -184

Nationals odds to win: +156

Spread: Phillies -1.5

Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, June 2, 2023

Time: 7:05 PM ET

TV: MASN

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Who Will Win Phillies vs. Nationals?

Phillies and Nationals Betting Trends

The Phillies have put together a 17-17 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).

Philadelphia has a 4-4 record (winning 50% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -184 or shorter.

The Nationals have entered the game as underdogs 53 times this season and won 21, or 39.6%, of those games.

Washington has a record of 9-12, a 42.9% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +156 or more by sportsbooks this season.

The Phillies have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 23 times this season for a 23-29-4 record against the over/under.

The Nationals and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 25 of their 55 opportunities.

Phillies Stats & Insights

The Phillies rank 24th in runs scored with 230, 4.1 per game.

Philadelphia averages one home run per game to rank 22nd in MLB play with 56 total home runs .

The Phillies’ .253 batting average ranks 13th in MLB.

Philadelphia’s 9.1 strikeouts per game rank 23rd in the majors.

The 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Phillies pitching staff ranks seventh in the majors.

Philadelphia has a 4.63 team ERA that ranks 24th across all MLB pitching staffs.

Nationals Stats & Insights

The Nationals rank 22nd in the majors with 240 total runs scored this season.

Washington has hit just 44 homers this season, which ranks 28th in the majors.

The Nationals have a team batting average of .264 this season, which ranks fourth among MLB teams.

Washington is the best at avoiding strikeouts in MLB this season with only 397 as a team.

The Nationals have a 7.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 28th in baseball.

Washington has the 21st-ranked ERA (4.47) in the majors this season.

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Phillies Key Players to Watch

Wheeler (4-4) takes the mound for the Phillies in his 12th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.60 ERA in 65 2/3 innings pitched, with 76 strikeouts.

Nicholas Castellanos leads Philadelphia in batting average (.300) this season while adding five home runs and 29 RBI.

Bryson Stott is batting .284 with an OBP of .320 and a slugging percentage of .396 this season.

Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia in home runs with 13. He’s driven in 27 runs and is slugging .387.

Trea Turner is batting .236 with an OBP of .279 and a slugging percentage of .369 this season.

Nationals Key Players to Watch

The Nationals’ Gray (4-5) will make his 12th start of the season.

Lane Thomas has launched a team-best eight home runs.

Jeimer Candelario is batting .265 with 15 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 18 walks.

Luis Garcia is batting .269 with eight doubles, a triple, four home runs and 13 walks.

Ruiz is batting .243 with seven doubles, seven home runs and 14 walks.

Phillies and Nationals Injuries

Phillies: Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), Alec Bohm: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), José Alvarado: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Darick Hall: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Noah Song: 60 Day IL (Back), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Nationals: Victor Robles: 10 Day IL (Back), Israel Pineda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Stephen Strasburg: 60 Day IL (Ribs/shoulder), Tanner Rainey: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Victor Arano: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)