Nationals vs. Phillies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, June 3, 2023

The Washington Nationals (25-32) and Philadelphia Phillies (25-32) meet Saturday at Nationals Park, with first pitch at 4:05 PM ET on MASN. The Nationals are -111 moneyline favorites for the contest, however, the Phillies are favored against the spread of 1.5 runs with +150 odds.

MacKenzie Gore will get the ball for Washington while Philadelphia will counter with Matt Strahm.

Nationals vs. Phillies Odds

  • Nationals odds to win: -111
  • Phillies odds to win: -108
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, June 3, 2023
  • Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • TV: MASN
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    Who Will Win Nationals vs. Phillies?

    Nationals and Phillies Betting Trends

    The Nationals have been listed as the moneyline favorite only two other times so far this season, and they won both of the games.

    Washington has played as moneyline favorites of -111 or shorter in just two games this season, which it won both.

    The Phillies have entered the game as underdogs 21 times this season and won seven, or 33.3%, of those games.

    Philadelphia is 7-14 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -108 or more on the moneyline.

    The Nationals have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 56 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 26 of those games (26-27-3).

    The Phillies and their opponents have hit the over in 24 of their 57 games with a total this season.

    Nationals Stats & Insights

    The Nationals rank 21st in runs scored with 248, 4.4 per game.

    Washington is third-worst in MLB play with 45 home runs.

    The Nationals’ .265 batting average is third-best in the majors.

    Washington strikes out the least in the majors, averaging 7.1 per game.

    The 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Nationals pitching staff ranks 29th in MLB.

    Washington’s 4.50 team ERA ranks 22nd among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies have scored 237 runs (4.2 per game) this season, which ranks 23rd in MLB.

    Philadelphia has hit 58 homers this season, which ranks 21st in the majors.

    The Phillies have a team batting average of .254 this season, which ranks 11th among MLB teams.

    Philadelphia ranks 23rd in strikeouts per game (9.1) among MLB offenses.

    The Phillies strike out 9.2 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, seventh-best in MLB.

    Philadelphia pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.70 ERA this year, which ranks 25th in MLB.

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    Nationals Key Players to Watch

    Gore (3-3) gets the starting nod for the Nationals in his 12th start of the season. He has a 3.57 ERA in 58 2/3 innings pitched, with 74 strikeouts.

    Jeimer Candelario is batting .269 with seven home runs and 28 RBI for Washington this season.

    Lane Thomas’ eight home runs are most among Washington batters. He’s driven in 27 runs this season while slugging .452.

    Luis Garcia has 54 hits this season and a slash line of .273/.313/.399.

    Joey Meneses leads Washington in runs batted in with 30 while batting .305, which is also best on the team.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    Strahm (4-3) will take to the mound for the Phillies and make his eighth start of the season.

    Nicholas Castellanos leads the Phillies with a .311 batting average.

    Bryson Stott is hitting .288 with 10 doubles, five home runs and 13 walks.

    Kyle Schwarber has launched a team-high 13 home runs.

    Brandon Marsh is batting .282 with nine doubles, four triples, five home runs and 25 walks.

    Nationals and Phillies Injuries

    Nationals: Victor Robles: 10 Day IL (Back), Israel Pineda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Stephen Strasburg: 60 Day IL (Ribs/shoulder), Tanner Rainey: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Victor Arano: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Phillies: Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), Alec Bohm: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), José Alvarado: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Darick Hall: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Noah Song: 60 Day IL (Back), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

    Nationals vs. Phillies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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