Twins vs. Guardians Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, June 3, 2023

Jun 03, 2023

The Minnesota Twins (31-27) will put their three-game win streak to the test when they host the Cleveland Guardians (25-32) Saturday at 7:15 PM ET on FOX. Sportsbooks consider the Twins -133 favorites to extend their streak, while the Guardians are +113 underdogs looking for the upset.

Minnesota’s Sonny Gray gets the start, and he’ll go against Cleveland’s Logan Allen.

Twins vs. Guardians Odds

Twins odds to win: -133

Guardians odds to win: +113

Spread: Twins -1.5

Total: 7.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, June 3, 2023

Time: 7:15 PM ET

TV: FOX

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Who Will Win Twins vs. Guardians?

Twins and Guardians Betting Trends

The Twins have been favored on the moneyline 36 total times this season. They’ve finished 24-12 in those games.

In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -133 or shorter, Minnesota has a 16-9 record (winning 64% of its games).

The Guardians have won 10, or 40%, of the 25 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

Cleveland is 6-8 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +113 or more on the moneyline.

The Twins have played in 58 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 25 times (25-29-4).

The Guardians’ games have gone over the total in 21 of their 56 chances.

Twins Stats & Insights

The Twins have the No. 13 offense in MLB play scoring 4.6 runs per game (264 total runs).

Minnesota averages 1.3 home runs per game to rank eighth in MLB action with 76 total home runs.

The Twins rank 23rd in the majors with a .233 batting average.

Minnesota’s 10.2 strikeouts per game are the most in MLB.

The 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Twins pitching staff ranks second in the majors.

Minnesota has the second-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.42).

Guardians Stats & Insights

The Guardians have scored 206 runs (just 3.6 per game) this season, which ranks 28th in MLB.

Cleveland has hit just 33 homers this season, which ranks last in the majors.

The Guardians have a team batting average of .232 this season, which ranks 24th among MLB teams.

Cleveland is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking second with an average of 7.1 strikeouts per game.

The Guardians have a 7.7 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 28th in baseball.

Cleveland pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.89 ERA this year, 10th-best in baseball.

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Twins Key Players to Watch

The Twins will send Gray (4-0) out to make his 12th start of the season. He is 4-0 with a 1.94 ERA and 69 strikeouts through 60 1/3 innings pitched.

Byron Buxton leads Minnesota with a .220 batting average. He’s also hit 10 homers and has 23 RBI.

Carlos Correa is batting .207 with an OBP of .299 and a slugging percentage of .372 this season.

Joey Gallo’s 11 home runs lead all Minnesota hitters, and he’s slugging .471.

Max Kepler is batting .200 with an OBP of .274 and a slugging percentage of .392 this season.

Guardians Key Players to Watch

The Guardians will hand the ball to Allen (2-2) for his eighth start of the season.

Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with a .271 batting average.

Steven Kwan is hitting .261 with 14 doubles, a triple, a home run and 29 walks.

Josh Naylor paces the Guardians in home runs (eight) and runs batted in (40).

Andres Gimenez is hitting .232 with nine doubles, a triple, three home runs and eight walks.

Twins and Guardians Injuries

Twins: Trevor Larnach: 10 Day IL (Pneumonia), Joey Gallo: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Kenta Maeda: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Caleb Thielbar: 15 Day IL (Oblique strain), Jorge Alcala: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Tyler Mahle: 60 Day IL (Arm), Nick Gordon: 60 Day IL (Shin), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Byron Buxton: day-to-day (Ribs), Carlos Correa: day-to-day (Foot)

Guardians: Cal Quantrill: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Peyton Battenfield: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Triston McKenzie: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Cody Morris: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)