Mets vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, June 4, 2023

Jun 04, 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays (32-27) hope to complete a three-game sweep of the New York Mets (30-29) when the teams meet at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday. The Mets are -140 favorites to prevent the Blue Jays from completing the sweep.

New York’s Kodai Senga gets the start, and he’ll go against Toronto’s Yusei Kikuchi.

Mets vs. Blue Jays Odds

Mets odds to win: -140

Blue Jays odds to win: +120

Spread: Mets -1.5

Total: 8.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, June 4, 2023

Time: 1:40 PM ET

TV: MLB Network

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Who Will Win Mets vs. Blue Jays?

Mets and Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Mets have been favored on the moneyline 43 total times this season. They’ve gone 24-19 in those games.

New York has a 15-15 record (winning 50% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -140 or shorter.

The Blue Jays have been underdogs in 18 games this season and won nine (50%) of those contests.

Toronto has a record of 1-3 when it’s set as an underdog of +120 or more by bookmakers this season.

The Mets have played in 58 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 26 times (26-31-1).

The Blue Jays and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 27 of their 59 opportunities.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets rank 19th in runs scored with 254, 4.3 per game.

New York is 16th in baseball with 65 total home runs.

The Mets rank 20th in MLB with a .241 batting average.

New York’s batters strike out 7.4 times per game, the third-lowest average in MLB.

The 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Mets pitching staff ranks 18th in MLB.

New York has a 4.48 team ERA that ranks 21st among all MLB pitching staffs.

Blue Jays Stats & Insights

The Blue Jays rank 11th in the majors with 274 total runs scored this season.

Toronto has hit 66 homers this season, which ranks 13th in the majors.

The Blue Jays’ .265 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking third in MLB.

Toronto is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking fifth with an average of 7.8 strikeouts per game.

The Blue Jays have a 9.5 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, fourth-best in baseball.

Toronto has pitched to a 3.78 ERA this season, which ranks seventh in baseball.

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Mets Key Players to Watch

Senga makes the start for the Mets, his 11th of the season. He is 5-3 with a 3.44 ERA and 70 strikeouts through 55 2/3 innings pitched.

Pete Alonso leads New York in home runs with 20 and runs batted in with 46.

Francisco Lindor has collected 49 hits this season and has an OBP of .284. He’s slugging .407 on the year.

Brandon Nimmo leads New York with a .292 batting average while slugging four homers and driving in 21 runs.

Jeff McNeil is batting .287 with an OBP of .363 and a slugging percentage of .359 this season.

Blue Jays Key Players to Watch

The Blue Jays’ Kikuchi (6-2) will make his 12th start of the season.

Bo Bichette has accumulated a team-best batting average of .332, while pacing the Blue Jays in home runs (12) and runs batted in (39).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .285 with 13 doubles, eight home runs and 20 walks.

George Springer has five doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 21 walks while batting .258.

Matt Chapman is batting .280 with 21 doubles, eight home runs and 25 walks.

Mets and Blue Jays Injuries

Mets: Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Tim Locastro: 60 Day IL (Back), Omar Narváez: 60 Day IL (Calf), Stephen Ridings: 60 Day IL (Lat), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Elieser Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)

Blue Jays: Danny Jansen: 10 Day IL (Groin), Santiago Espinal: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Zach Pop: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Mitchell White: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chad Green: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed), Hyun-Jin Ryu: 60 Day IL (Elbow)