Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, June 4, 2023

The Philadelphia Phillies (26-32) are -157 favorites to take Game 3 of th series from the Washington Nationals (25-33) Sunday at 1:35 PM ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied, and the underdog Nationals are listed with +135 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory.

Ranger Suarez will get the ball for Philadelphia while Washington will counter with Trevor Williams.

Phillies vs. Nationals Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -157
  • Nationals odds to win: +135
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Sunday, June 4, 2023
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • TV: MLB Network
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    Who Will Win Phillies vs. Nationals?

    Phillies and Nationals Betting Trends

    The Phillies have won 48.6% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (17-18).

    Philadelphia has a record of 6-8 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -157 or shorter (42.9% winning percentage).

    This season, the Nationals have been the underdog 54 times and won 22, or 40.7%, of those games.

    Washington has entered 33 games this season as the underdog by +135 or more and is 15-18 in those contests.

    The Phillies have played in 58 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 24 times (24-30-4).

    Games involving the Nationals have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 26 of 57 chances this season.

    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies have the No. 23 offense in MLB action scoring 4.2 runs per game (241 total runs).

    Philadelphia is 21st in MLB with 59 total home runs.

    The Phillies have the 11th-ranked batting average in the majors (.255).

    Philadelphia’s 9.1 strikeouts per game rank 22nd in MLB.

    The Phillies pitching staff ranks seventh in the majors with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Philadelphia’s 4.65 team ERA ranks 25th among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Nationals Stats & Insights

    The Nationals have scored 250 runs (4.3 per game) this season, which ranks 21st in MLB.

    Washington’s 45 home runs rank 28th in MLB this season.

    The Nationals rank fourth in MLB with a .264 team batting average.

    Washington has the fewest strikeouts in MLB, fanning only seven times per game on average.

    The Nationals have a 7.6 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 29th in baseball.

    Washington has the 23rd-ranked ERA (4.49) in the majors this season.

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    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    Suarez makes the start for the Phillies, his fifth of the season. He is 0-2 with a 7.13 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 17 2/3 innings pitched.

    Nicholas Castellanos leads Philadelphia with a batting average of .310. He’s also hit seven home runs with 34 RBI.

    Bryson Stott is batting .288 with an OBP of .325 and a slugging percentage of .397 this season.

    Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia in home runs with 13. He’s driven in 27 runs and is slugging .387.

    Trea Turner has 57 hits and an OBP of .281 to go with a slugging percentage of .373 this season.

    Nationals Key Players to Watch

    The Nationals will send Williams (2-3) to the mound for his 12th start this season.

    Jeimer Candelario has 17 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 18 walks while batting .264.

    Lane Thomas’ eight home runs are a team-high mark.

    Luis Garcia is hitting .272 with eight doubles, a triple, five home runs and 13 walks.

    Joey Meneses has 30 runs batted in while hitting .306. Both are team-highs.

    Phillies and Nationals Injuries

    Phillies: Alec Bohm: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Cristian Pache: 10 Day IL (Knee), José Alvarado: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Darick Hall: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Rafael Marchan: 60 Day IL (Hand), Noah Song: 60 Day IL (Back), Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

    Nationals: Victor Robles: 10 Day IL (Back), Israel Pineda: 10 Day IL (Finger), Stephen Strasburg: 60 Day IL (Ribs/shoulder), Tanner Rainey: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Cade Cavalli: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Victor Arano: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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