Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, June 4, 2023

Jun 04, 2023

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Sunday when the Tampa Bay Rays (41-19) and Boston Red Sox (30-28) take to the field at 1:35 PM ET, live on NESN. Yandy Diaz is batting .310 for the Rays (-123 favorites on the moneyline) while Masataka Yoshida leads the underdog Red Sox (+104) with a .314 average.

Tampa Bay’s Taj Bradley gets the start, and he’ll go against Boston’s Tanner Houck.

Rays vs. Red Sox Odds

Rays odds to win: -123

Red Sox odds to win: +104

Spread: Rays -1.5

Total: 9 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Sunday, June 4, 2023

Time: 1:35 PM ET

TV: NESN

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Who Will Win Rays vs. Red Sox?

Rays and Red Sox Betting Trends

The Rays have been the moneyline favorite 52 total times this season. They’ve finished 37-15 in those games.

Tampa Bay has gone 37-10 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -123 or shorter (78.7% winning percentage).

The Red Sox have been underdogs in 33 games this season and won 16 (48.5%) of those contests.

Boston has entered 25 games this season as the underdog by +104 or more and is 12-13 in those contests.

The Rays have had an over/under set by bookmakers 60 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 35 of those games (35-22-3).

The Red Sox and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of their 58 opportunities.

Rays Stats & Insights

The Rays have the No. 2 offense in MLB play scoring 5.8 runs per game (349 total runs).

The Tampa Bay Rays have hit an MLB-leading 103 home runs, averaging 1.7 per game.

The Rays have the second-best batting average in the majors (.268).

Tampa Bay strikes out 8.4 times per game to rank 16th in MLB.

The Rays pitching staff ranks 20th in the majors with a collective 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

Tampa Bay’s 3.73 team ERA ranks sixth across all MLB pitching staffs.

Red Sox Stats & Insights

The Red Sox are among the highest scoring teams in the majors, ranking fourth with 303 total runs this season.

Boston ranks 16th in Major League Baseball with 65 home runs.

The Red Sox’s .264 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking fourth in MLB.

Boston has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the sixth-best strikeout rate (eight per game) among MLB offenses.

The Red Sox strike out 8.8 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 13th in MLB.

Boston pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.64 ERA this year, which ranks 24th in MLB.

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Rays Key Players to Watch

Bradley gets the start for the Rays, his seventh of the season. He is 3-2 with a 3.60 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 30 2/3 innings pitched.

Wander Franco has been key for Tampa Bay with seven home runs, 30 RBI and a batting average of .305 this season.

Diaz is batting .310 this season with 12 home runs and 33 RBI.

Randy Arozarena leads Tampa Bay in runs batted in (40) this season. He has a .294 batting average and a .500 slugging percentage.

Josh Lowe has collected 49 hits this season and has an OBP of .341. He’s slugging .557 on the year.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch

Houck (3-4) will take to the mound for the Red Sox and make his 11th start of the season.

Yoshida has put up a team-high batting average of .314.

Rafael Devers has put his power on display as he leads his team with 13 home runs and 48 runs batted in.

Alex Verdugo has 17 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 21 walks while hitting .289.

Justin Turner is hitting .271 with 11 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks.

Rays and Red Sox Injuries

Rays: Pete Fairbanks: 15 Day IL (Hip), Zack Littell: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Drew Rasmussen: 60 Day IL (Flexor), Jeffrey Springs: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Garrett Cleavinger: 60 Day IL (Knee), Shane Baz: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Andrew Kittredge: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Josh Fleming: day-to-day (Elbow), Luke Raley: day-to-day (Illness), Wander Franco: day-to-day (Hamstring)

Red Sox: Christian Arroyo: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Yu Chang: 10 Day IL (Hand), John Schreiber: 15 Day IL (Side), Richard Bleier: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Joely Rodriguez: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Zack Kelly: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adam Duvall: 60 Day IL (Wrist), Wyatt Mills: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60 Day IL (Knee), Chris Sale: day-to-day (Shoulder)