Twins vs. Guardians Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, June 4, 2023

The Minnesota Twins (31-28) are set to take on the Cleveland Guardians (26-32) Sunday at 2:10 PM ET, airing on BSN. The Twins are listed as -138 favorites by sportsbooks, while the underdog Guardians have +118 odds for the contest.

Joe Ryan will get the ball for Minnesota while Cleveland will counter with Triston McKenzie.

Twins vs. Guardians Odds

  • Twins odds to win: -138
  • Guardians odds to win: +118
  • Spread: Twins -1.5
  • Total: 7.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Sunday, June 4, 2023
  • Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • TV: BSN
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    Who Will Win Twins vs. Guardians?

    Twins and Guardians Betting Trends

    The Twins are 24-13 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 64.9% of those games).

    In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -138 or shorter, Minnesota has a record of 16-9 (64%).

    The Guardians have entered the game as underdogs 26 times this season and won 11, or 42.3%, of those games.

    Cleveland is 4-7 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +118 or more on the moneyline.

    The Twins have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 25 times this season for a 25-30-4 record against the over/under.

    The Guardians and their opponents have hit the over in 21 of their 57 games with a total this season.

    Twins Stats & Insights

    The Twins have the No. 14 offense in MLB play scoring 4.5 runs per game (266 total runs).

    Minnesota ranks seventh-best in MLB play with 77 total home runs.

    The Twins have the 24th-ranked batting average in the majors (.233).

    Minnesota’s hitters strike out 10.1 times per game, the most in baseball.

    The Twins pitching staff is second in MLB with a collective 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Minnesota has a 3.43 team ERA that ranks second among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Guardians Stats & Insights

    The Guardians have scored 210 runs (just 3.6 per game) this season, which ranks 28th in MLB.

    Cleveland has hit just 35 homers this season, which ranks last in the majors.

    The Guardians have a team batting average of .234 this season, which ranks 23rd among MLB teams.

    Cleveland has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the second-best strikeout rate (7.1 per game) among MLB offenses.

    The Guardians have a 7.7 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 27th in baseball.

    Cleveland pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.86 ERA this year, 10th-best in baseball.

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    Twins Key Players to Watch

    Ryan (7-2) gets the starting nod for the Twins in his 12th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.77 ERA in 65 2/3 innings pitched, with 76 strikeouts.

    Byron Buxton leads Minnesota with a .220 batting average. He’s also hit 10 homers and has 23 RBI.

    Carlos Correa has 39 hits and an OBP of .299 to go with a slugging percentage of .372 this season.

    Max Kepler is slashing .198/.272/.388 this season for the Twins.

    Jorge Polanco has collected 30 hits this season and has an OBP of .316. He’s slugging .500 on the year.

    Guardians Key Players to Watch

    McKenzie will make his first start of the season for the Guardians.

    Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with a .265 batting average.

    Steven Kwan is batting .264 with 14 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 29 walks.

    Josh Naylor has put up a team-best eight home runs and 40 runs batted in.

    Andres Gimenez has 10 doubles, a triple, three home runs and nine walks while batting .242.

    Twins and Guardians Injuries

    Twins: Joey Gallo: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Trevor Larnach: 10 Day IL (Pneumonia), Kenta Maeda: 15 Day IL (Tricep), Jorge Alcala: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Caleb Thielbar: 15 Day IL (Oblique strain), Tyler Mahle: 60 Day IL (Arm), Nick Gordon: 60 Day IL (Shin), Gilberto Celestino: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Chris Paddack: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Byron Buxton: day-to-day (Ribs), Carlos Correa: day-to-day (Foot)

    Guardians: Cal Quantrill: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Peyton Battenfield: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Triston McKenzie: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Cody Morris: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Amed Rosario: day-to-day (Knee)

    Twins vs. Guardians Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Twins 4, Guardians 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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