Marlins vs. Royals Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, June 5, 2023

The Miami Marlins (32-28) will put their three-game win streak to the test when they host the Kansas City Royals (18-41) Monday at 6:40 PM ET on Fox Sports 1. Sportsbooks consider the Marlins -165 favorites to extend their streak, while the Royals are +141 underdogs looking for the upset.

Braxton Garrett starts for Miami while Carlos Hernandez is Kansas City’s starter for the contest.

Marlins vs. Royals Odds

  • Marlins odds to win: -165
  • Royals odds to win: +141
  • Spread: Marlins -1.5
  • Total: 7.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Monday, June 5, 2023
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • TV: Fox Sports 1
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    Who Will Win Marlins vs. Royals?

    Marlins and Royals Betting Trends

    The Marlins have compiled a 15-12 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 55.6% of those games).

    Miami has a 5-1 record (winning 83.3% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -165 or shorter.

    The Royals have been underdogs in 46 games this season and won 15 (32.6%) of those contests.

    Kansas City has a record of 6-21, a 22.2% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +141 or more by oddsmakers this season.

    The Marlins have played in 59 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 27 times (27-30-2).

    The Royals’ games have gone over the total in 25 of their 58 chances.

    Marlins Stats & Insights

    The Marlins have the No. 26 offense in baseball scoring 3.9 runs per game (233 total runs).

    Miami is 24th in baseball with 56 total home runs.

    The Marlins are sixth in the majors with a .261 batting average.

    Miami strikes out 8.4 times per game to rank 11th in baseball.

    The Marlins pitching staff ranks fourth in MLB with a collective 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Miami has a 4.30 team ERA that ranks 17th among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Royals Stats & Insights

    The Royals are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 27th with just 229 total runs (3.9 per game) this season.

    Kansas City has hit 60 homers this season, which ranks 22nd in the majors.

    The Royals rank 23rd in MLB with a .232 team batting average.

    Kansas City ranks 19th in strikeouts per game (8.9) among MLB offenses.

    The Royals strike out 8.9 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 13th in MLB.

    Kansas City has the 27th-ranked ERA (4.98) in the majors this season.

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    Marlins Key Players to Watch

    Garrett (1-2) gets the starting nod for the Marlins in his 11th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.22 ERA in 53 1/3 innings pitched, with 54 strikeouts.

    Luis Arraez leads Miami in batting average (.392) this season.

    Jorge Soler leads Miami in home runs (17) and runs batted in (36) this season while batting .245.

    Bryan De La Cruz has 61 hits this season and a slash line of .299/.348/.451.

    Yuli Gurriel is batting .291 with an OBP of .350 and a slugging percentage of .440 this season.

    Royals Key Players to Watch

    Hernandez will get the start for the Royals, his third of the season.

    Vinnie Pasquantino is batting .255 with 16 doubles, nine home runs and 25 walks.

    Bobby Witt Jr. is batting .233 with eight doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 11 walks.

    Salvador Perez has a team-high .278 batting average, and leads the Royals in home runs (12) and runs batted in (33).

    Edward Olivares has seven doubles, two triples, five home runs and nine walks while batting .236.

    Marlins and Royals Injuries

    Marlins: Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Back), Jazz Chisholm: 10 Day IL (Toe), A.J. Puk: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Matt Barnes: 15 Day IL (Hip), Trevor Rogers: 15 Day IL (Forearm ), Johnny Cueto: 60 Day IL (Biceps), Tommy Nance: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Royals: Kyle Isbel: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Brad Keller: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Josh Taylor: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Amir Garrett: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Ryan Yarbrough: 60 Day IL (Head), Kris Bubic: 60 Day IL (Flexor), Jake Brentz: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Angel Zerpa: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Diego Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Carlos Hernandez: day-to-day (Undisclosed)

    Marlins vs. Royals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Royals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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