Braves vs. Mets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, June 7, 2023

Jun 07, 2023

The Atlanta Braves (36-24), led by Ozzie Albies on a two-game home run streak, are -131 favorites on the moneyline to defeat Pete Alonso (homers in two straight contests) and the New York Mets (30-31). First pitch is at 7:20 PM ET on Wednesday, live from Truist Park and airing on BSSO.

Charlie Morton gets the starting nod for Atlanta while Max Scherzer is New York’s starter for the contest.

Braves vs. Mets Odds

Braves odds to win: -131

Mets odds to win: +111

Spread: Braves -1.5

Total: 9.5 runs

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Game Time and Information

Date: Wednesday, June 7, 2023

Time: 7:20 PM ET

TV: BSSO

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Who Will Win Braves vs. Mets?

Braves and Mets Betting Trends

The Braves have a 30-21 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 58.8% of those games).

When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -131 or shorter, Atlanta has a record of 27-12 (69.2%).

The Mets have won six, or 37.5%, of the 16 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

New York has a record of 1-5 in games where sportsbooks have it as underdogs of at least +111 on the moneyline.

The Braves have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 32 times this season for a 32-25-3 record against the over/under.

The Mets and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 27 of their 60 opportunities.

Braves Stats & Insights

The Braves are the sixth-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 5.1 runs per game (303 total).

Atlanta is third-best in MLB play with 98 total home runs.

The Braves rank eighth in the majors with a .259 batting average.

Atlanta strikes out 8.6 times per game, the No. 11 mark in the majors.

The Braves pitching staff ranks second in the majors with a collective 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings.

Atlanta has a 3.68 team ERA that ranks sixth among all MLB pitching staffs.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets rank 19th in the majors with 262 total runs scored this season.

New York ranks 11th in Major League Baseball with 71 home runs.

The Mets rank 20th in MLB with a .239 team batting average.

New York is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking third with an average of 7.5 strikeouts per game.

The Mets average the 16th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.7) in the league this season.

New York has the 23rd-ranked ERA (4.53) in the majors this season.

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Braves Key Players to Watch

Morton gets the start for the Braves, his 12th of the season. He is 5-6 with a 3.62 ERA and 72 strikeouts through 64 2/3 innings pitched.

Ronald Acuna Jr. leads Atlanta with a .329 batting average. He’s also hit 12 homers and has 32 RBI.

Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs (17) and runs batted in (43) this season while batting .233.

Albies is slashing .258/.306/.485 this season for the Braves.

Sean Murphy is batting .288 with an OBP of .391 and a slugging percentage of .542 this season.

Mets Key Players to Watch

The Mets’ Scherzer (5-2) will make his 10th start of the season.

Alonso leads the Mets with 22 home runs and 49 runs batted in.

Francisco Lindor is batting .214 with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 20 walks.

Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with a .288 batting average.

Jeff McNeil is batting .278 with seven doubles, a triple, two home runs and 22 walks.

Braves and Mets Injuries

Braves: Michael Tonkin: 15 Day IL (Neck), Dylan Lee: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Max Fried: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Ehire Adrianza: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kyle Wright: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Mets: Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Tim Locastro: 60 Day IL (Back), Stephen Ridings: 60 Day IL (Lat), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Elieser Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)