Pirates vs. Mets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, June 9, 2023

The Pittsburgh Pirates (32-29) are favored on the moneyline (-119) in Friday’s contest versus the New York Mets (30-33). First pitch is at 7:05 PM ET on SportsNet PT. The Mets, with +153 odds, are favored against the spread (1.5).

Rich Hill gets the starting nod for Pittsburgh while Tylor Megill is New York’s starter for the contest.

Pirates vs. Mets Odds

  • Pirates odds to win: -119
  • Mets odds to win: +100
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 9.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Friday, June 9, 2023
  • Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • TV: SportsNet PT
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    Who Will Win Pirates vs. Mets?

    Pirates and Mets Betting Trends

    The Pirates are 10-6 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 62.5% of those games).

    When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -119 or shorter, Pittsburgh has a 9-6 record (winning 60% of its games).

    This season, the Mets have been the underdog 18 times and won six, or 33.3%, of those games.

    New York has entered 10 games this season as the underdog by +100 or more and is 1-9 in those contests.

    The Pirates have played in 61 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 29 times (29-29-3).

    Games involving the Mets have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 29 of 62 chances this season.

    Pirates Stats & Insights

    The Pirates rank 19th in runs scored with 266, 4.4 per game.

    Pittsburgh averages 0.9 home runs per game to rank 25th in baseball with 57 total home runs .

    The Pirates have the 15th-ranked batting average in the league (.247).

    Pittsburgh’s hitters strike out 8.4 times per game, the eighth-fewest strikeouts in the majors.

    The 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Pirates pitching staff ranks 15th in the majors.

    Pittsburgh’s 4.15 team ERA ranks 14th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets have scored 277 runs (4.4 per game) this season, which ranks 16th in MLB.

    New York’s 76 home runs rank 10th in Major League Baseball.

    The Mets have a team batting average of .240 this season, which ranks 20th among MLB teams.

    New York has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the fourth-best strikeout rate (7.6 per game) among MLB offenses.

    The Mets average the 15th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.7) in the league this season.

    New York has pitched to a 4.68 ERA this season, which ranks 23rd in baseball.

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    Pirates Key Players to Watch

    The Pirates will send Hill (5-5) to the mound to make his 13th start of the season. He is 5-5 with a 4.55 ERA and 61 strikeouts through 65 1/3 innings pitched.

    Bryan Reynolds leads Pittsburgh in runs batted in with 38 while batting .278, which is also best on the team.

    Andrew McCutchen has 50 hits and an OBP of .381 to go with a slugging percentage of .435 this season.

    Ke’Bryan Hayes has collected 57 base hits, an OBP of .295 and a slugging percentage of .404 this season.

    Carlos Santana has collected 44 hits this season and has an OBP of .323. He’s slugging .349 on the year.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    The Mets will hand the ball to Megill (5-3) for his 13th start of the season.

    Pete Alonso paces the Mets with 22 home runs and 49 runs batted in.

    Francisco Lindor is hitting .220 with 16 doubles, 11 home runs and 22 walks.

    Brandon Nimmo has put up a team-best batting average of .283.

    Jeff McNeil is batting .279 with seven doubles, a triple, two home runs and 23 walks.

    Pirates and Mets Injuries

    Pirates: Vince Velásquez: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Ji-Man Choi: 60 Day IL (Achilles), Oneil Cruz: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Wil Crowe: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jarlin García: 60 Day IL (Arm), Max Kranick: 60 Day IL (Elbow), JT Brubaker: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Mets: Edwin Uceta: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Tim Locastro: 60 Day IL (Back), Stephen Ridings: 60 Day IL (Lat), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Elieser Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib), Pete Alonso: day-to-day (Wrist)

    Pirates vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
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    How to Bet on Pirates vs. Mets

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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