Heat vs. Grizzlies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, March 15, 2023

Miami is a 4-point favorite against Memphis when Bam Adebayo’s Heat (37-33) and the Desmond Bane-led Grizzlies (41-26) take the court on March 15, 2023. The point total for the matchup is 219.5.

Heat vs. Grizzlies Odds

• Heat odds to win: -177
• Grizzlies odds to win: +150
• Spread: Heat (-4)
• Total: 219.5

Heat vs. Grizzlies Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Wednesday, March 15, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
• TV: BSSUN and BSSE

Who Will Win Heat vs. Grizzlies?

Heat and Grizzlies Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Heat have a 5-19-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 4 points or more.

The Grizzlies are 2-4 against the spread when an underdog by 4 points or more this season.

The two teams average a combined 4.8 more points per game, 224.3, than this matchup’s total of 219.5 points.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 1.6 more points per game, 221.1, than this game’s over/under of 219.5 points.

The average point total in Heat games this season is 1.3 fewer points than the total of 219.5 in this matchup.

The average point total for Memphis this year is 7.7 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Miami has gone 24-42-4 ATS this season.

The Grizzlies are 32-32-3 against the spread this year.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat average 108.7 points per game (30th in the league) while allowing 109.5 per outing (second in the NBA). They have a -53 scoring differential overall.

The Heat grab 40.9 rebounds per game (27th in the league) while conceding 42.1 per outing to their opponents. They are outrebounded by 1.2 boards per game.

Miami makes 11.7 three-pointers per game (17th in the league) at a 33.8% rate (27th in the NBA), compared to the 13.1 per outing its opponents make while shooting 36.8% from beyond the arc.

The Heat rank 27th in the NBA with 109.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and fifth in the league defensively with 109.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In the 2022-23 campaign, the Heat score 2.2 more points per home game on average than on the road (109.8 at home, 107.6 on the road), but are conceding 1.2 fewer points per home game compared to road games (108.9 at home, 110.1 on the road).

Grizzlies Stats & Insights

The Grizzlies are outscoring opponents by four points per game, with a +272 scoring differential overall. They put up 115.6 points per game (11th in NBA) and allow 111.6 per contest (fifth in league).

The 47.1 rebounds per game Memphis accumulates rank second in the NBA, 2.5 more than the 44.6 its opponents grab.

The Grizzlies make 11.4 three-pointers per game (20th in the league) at a 34.3% rate (25th in NBA), compared to the 12.8 per contest their opponents make, shooting 35.1% from beyond the arc.

The Grizzlies rank 23rd in the league averaging 110.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are first, allowing 107.1 points per 100 possessions.

At home, Memphis scores 118.6 points per game. Away, it scores 112.7.

Heat Key Players to Watch

Adebayo averages 20.9 points, 9.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game.

Jimmy Butler’s averages this season are 22.6 points, 6.1 rebounds and 5.0 assists per game.

Tyler Herro makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Heat, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.1 per contest.

Butler averages 1.9 steals per game, while Adebayo swats 0.8 shots per contest.

Grizzlies Key Players to Watch

Bane tallies 21.3 points per game. He also adds 5.1 rebounds per outing and 4.3 assists per contest.

This season, Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 16.8 points, 0.8 assists and 6.6 rebounds per game.

Bane averages 2.9 made threes per game.

The Grizzlies’ defensive efforts get a lift from Tyus Jones (1.0 steal per game) and Jackson (3.1 blocks per game).

Heat vs. Grizzlies Prediction

• Pick ATS: Grizzlies (+ 4)
• Pick OU:

  Over (219.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Grizzlies 112 – Heat 111

How to Bet on Heat vs. Grizzlies

Get more NBA picks and predictions, the top NBA Player Prop Bets, and game previews as well as view the latest live NBA lines on Betsperts.

If you are new to sports betting, read our in-depth guide on how to bet on basketball as well as find the best NBA betting sites.