Bucks vs. Pacers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 16, 2023

The Milwaukee Bucks (50-19) head into their matchup against the Indiana Pacers (31-38) on March 16, 2023 as double-digit favorites. Milwaukee is favored by 12.5 points. The game’s over/under is 238.

Bucks vs. Pacers Odds

• Bucks odds to win: -841
• Pacers odds to win: +565
• Spread: Bucks (-12.5)
• Total: 238

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Game Time and Information

• When: Thursday, March 16, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
• Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• TV: BSWI and BSIN

Who Will Win Bucks vs. Pacers?

Bucks and Pacers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games they have played as at least 12.5-point favorites this season, the Bucks are 1-2 against the spread.

The Pacers are winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 12.5-point underdogs.

The two teams average a combined 6.4 fewer points per game, 231.6, than this game’s over/under of 238 points.

Milwaukee and Indiana have seen its opponents average a combined 8.1 fewer points per game than the over/under of 238 set in this game.

The average point total in Bucks games this year is 9.9 fewer points than the total of 238 in this matchup.

The average total in Indiana’s games this season is 4.6 fewer points than the point total of 238 for this outing.

Milwaukee has a 38-26-5 record against the spread this season.

The Pacers are 37-31-1 against the spread this year.

Bucks Stats & Insights

The Bucks’ +286 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 116.1 points per game (ninth in the NBA) while giving up 112.0 per outing (sixth in the league).

The Bucks are first in the NBA at 49.0 rebounds per game. That’s 4.5 more than the 44.5 their opponents average.

Milwaukee makes 14.8 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in the league), 3.1 more than its opponents (11.7).

The Bucks record 113.6 points per 100 possessions (10th in the league), while giving up 108.3 points per 100 possessions (third in the NBA).

The Bucks have scored at a much higher clip in home games than away from home in the 2022-23 season (119.6 at home versus 112.8 on the road), though they have allowed fewer points in home games than away from home (111.6 opponent points per home game versus 112.3 on the road).

Pacers Stats & Insights

The Pacers have been outscored by 2.4 points per game (posting 115.5 points per game, 11th in league, while conceding 117.9 per outing, 26th in NBA) and have a -164 scoring differential.

Indiana loses the rebound battle by an average of 4.2 boards. It records 41.5 rebounds per game (23rd in league) compared to its opponents’ 45.7.

The Pacers make 13.8 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league) while shooting 36.3% from beyond the arc (13th in NBA). They are making 1.4 more threes than their opponents, who drain 12.4 per game at 37.3%.

The Pacers rank 24th in the league averaging 110.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 25th, allowing 114.2 points per 100 possessions.

At home Indiana is scoring 118.6 points per game, 6.2 more than it is averaging away (112.4).

Bucks Key Players to Watch

Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 31.5 points, 11.9 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game.

Jrue Holiday’s averages this season are 19.4 points, 5.1 rebounds and 7.2 assists per game.

Holiday leads active Bucks in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.4 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Holiday picks pockets to the tune of 1.2 takeaways per game, and Brook Lopez compiles 2.5 rejections per contest.

Pacers Key Players to Watch

Buddy Hield puts up 17.1 points per game. He also contributes 5.1 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game this season.

This season, Myles Turner has a statline that includes 18.0 points, 1.3 assists and 7.6 rebounds per game.

Hield hits 3.7 treys per game.

Tyrese Haliburton’s 1.6 steals and Turner’s 2.4 blocks per game are vital to the Pacers’ defensive production.

Bucks vs. Pacers Prediction

• Pick ATS: Pacers (+ 12.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (238)
  

• Prediction:
  Bucks 122 – Pacers 109

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