Celtics vs. Trail Blazers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 17, 2023
Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics (48-22) enter their game against the Damian Lillard-led Portland Trail Blazers (31-38) on March 17, 2023 as a 6-point favorite. A point total of 234 is set for the matchup.
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers Odds
- Celtics odds to win: -219
- Trail Blazers odds to win: +183
- Spread: Celtics (-6)
- Total: 234
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Game Time and Information
- When: Friday, March 17, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
- Where: Moda Center in Portland, Oregon
- TV: ROOT Sports NW and NBCS-BOS
Who Will Win Celtics vs. Trail Blazers?
Celtics and Trail Blazers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Celtics have a 17-21-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 6 points or more this season.
The Trail Blazers have a 6-7 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 6 points or more.
The two teams average a combined 2.1 fewer points per game (231.9) than this matchup’s total of 234 points.
Boston and Portland have seen its opponents average a combined 5.9 fewer points per game than the over/under of 234 set for this matchup.
The average over/under the Celtics have had set in matchups this year is 4.3 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
Portland’s games this year have averaged an over/under of 230.4 points, 3.6 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
Boston is 35-32-3 ATS this season.
So far this year, the Trail Blazers have put together a 32-36-1 record against the spread.
Celtics Stats & Insights
The Celtics’ +373 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 117.5 points per game (fourth in the NBA) while giving up 112.2 per outing (seventh in the league).
The Celtics grab 45.0 rebounds per game (seventh in the league) compared to the 44.0 of their opponents.
Boston knocks down 15.8 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league) while shooting 37.5% from deep (seventh-best in the NBA). It is making 4.1 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 11.7 per game while shooting 35.1%.
The Celtics’ 115.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank fourth in the NBA, and the 109.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank fourth in the league.
The Celtics have been much better offensively at home, where they score 120.7 points per game, compared to road games, where they record 114.4 per game. Defensively, they are slightly better at home, where they allow 111.9 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow their opponents to score 112.5 per game.
Trail Blazers Stats & Insights
The Trail Blazers’ -103 scoring differential (being outscored by 1.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 114.4 points per game (15th in NBA) while giving up 115.9 per contest (19th in league).
Portland pulls down 41.1 rebounds per game (26th in league), compared to the 42.0 of its opponents.
The Trail Blazers knock down 1.1 more threes per contest than the opposition, 13.2 (eighth-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.1.
The Trail Blazers rank ninth in the league averaging 113.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 26th, allowing 115.0 points per 100 possessions.
Portland scores 119.2 points per game at home, and 110.1 on the road.
Celtics Key Players to Watch
The Celtics get 30.1 points, 9.0 rebounds and 4.7 assists from Tatum.
Marcus Smart’s averages this season are 11.3 points, 3.3 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game.
Tatum makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Celtics, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.3 per contest.
Smart averages 1.5 steals per game, while Derrick White has 0.9 blocks per contest.
Trail Blazers Key Players to Watch
The Trail Blazers go-to guy, Lillard, leads active Trail Blazers players in both scoring (32.3 points per game) and assists (7.3 assists per game).
Jusuf Nurkic has per-game averages of 13.2 points, 2.9 assists and 9.1 rebounds this season.
Lillard makes 4.3 treys per game.
The Trail Blazers’ defensive efforts get a boost from Matisse Thybulle (1.1 steals per game) and Drew Eubanks (1.1 blocks per game).
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers Prediction
- Pick ATS: Trail Blazers (+ 6)
- Pick OU:
Under (234)
- Prediction:
Celtics 118 – Trail Blazers 112
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