Grizzlies vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 17, 2023
Odds are against the San Antonio Spurs (18-51), who are an 8.5-point underdog when they square off with the Memphis Grizzlies (41-27) on March 17, 2023. The matchup’s point total is 234.5.
Grizzlies vs. Spurs Odds
- Grizzlies odds to win: -359
- Spurs odds to win: +286
- Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)
- Total: 234.5
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Game Time and Information
- When: Friday, March 17, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
- Where: AT&T Center in San Antonio, Texas
- TV: BSSW and BSSE
Who Will Win Grizzlies vs. Spurs?
Grizzlies and Spurs Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Grizzlies have a 7-6-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 8.5 points or more.
In games they have played as at least 8.5-point underdogs this year, the Spurs are 12-16 against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 6.3 fewer points per game, 228.2, than this game’s total of 234.5 points.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 234 points per game, 0.5 fewer than the over/under for this matchup.
The average point total in Grizzlies games this year is 6.9 fewer points than the over/under of 234.5 in this matchup.
The average point total for San Antonio this season is 0.1 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Memphis’ ATS record is 32-33-3 this season.
The Spurs have a 28-41-0 record against the spread this season.
Grizzlies Stats & Insights
The Grizzlies’ +253 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 115.7 points per game (11th in the NBA) while giving up 111.9 per outing (fifth in the league).
The Grizzlies win the rebound battle by 2.5 boards on average. They record 47.0 rebounds per game, which ranks third in the league, while their opponents grab 44.5 per contest.
Memphis connects on 11.5 three-pointers per game (19th in the league), 1.3 fewer than its opponents (12.8).
The Grizzlies score 110.9 points per 100 possessions (22nd in the league), while allowing 107.5 points per 100 possessions (first in the NBA).
The Grizzlies’ offense has been much better in home games (118.6 PPG) compared to their play on the road (112.9 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been much better when playing at home (107.8 PPG allowed) when compared to their play on the road (115.8 PPG allowed).
Spurs Stats & Insights
The Spurs’ -662 scoring differential (being outscored by 9.6 points per game) is a result of putting up 112.5 points per game (24th in NBA) while allowing 122.1 per outing (30th in league).
San Antonio ranks 15th in the league at 43.4 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.4 its opponents average.
The Spurs knock down 10.8 three-pointers per game (23rd in the league), 1.6 fewer than their opponents. They are shooting 34.5% from beyond the arc (24th in NBA) and opponents are shooting 39.4%.
The Spurs rank 29th in the NBA with 107.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 30th defensively with 117.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
At home San Antonio is putting up 113.8 points per game, 2.7 more than it is averaging away (111.1).
Grizzlies Key Players to Watch
The Grizzlies active scoring leader is Desmond Bane, who averages 21.1 per contest to go with 5.0 rebounds and 4.3 assists.
Tyus Jones contributes with 10.2 points, 4.7 assists and 2.3 rebounds per game, and Jaren Jackson Jr. adds 17.0 points, 0.8 assists and 6.6 rebounds per contest.
The Grizzlies get 2.9 three-pointers per game out of Bane.
Jones averages 1.0 steal per game, while Jackson has 3.1 blocks per contest.
Spurs Key Players to Watch
Keldon Johnson racks up 21.7 points per game. He also adds 4.9 rebounds per outing and 2.9 assists per contest.
This season, Zach Collins has a statline that includes 10.8 points, 2.8 assists and 6.2 rebounds per game.
Johnson hits 2.1 treys per game.
The Spurs’ defensive effort gets a lift from Tre Jones (1.3 steals per game) and Collins (0.7 blocks per game).
Grizzlies vs. Spurs Prediction
- Pick ATS: Grizzlies (- 8.5)
- Pick OU:
Under (234.5)
- Prediction:
Grizzlies 121 – Spurs 110
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