Hawks vs. Warriors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 17, 2023

Jordan Poole’s Golden State Warriors (36-34) will look to upset Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks when the Warriors play the Hawks on March 17, 2023. Atlanta is a 4-point favorite against Golden State. A point total of 247.5 has been set for the matchup.

Hawks vs. Warriors Odds

• Hawks odds to win: -182
• Warriors odds to win: +153
• Spread: Hawks (-4)
• Total: 247.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Friday, March 17, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
• TV: NBA TV, BSSE, and NBCS-BA

Who Will Win Hawks vs. Warriors?

Hawks and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Hawks have an 8-16-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 4 points or more this season.

The Warriors have a 7-7 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 4 points or more this year.

The Hawks and the Warriors combine to average 12.0 fewer points per game than the over/under of 247.5 set for this matchup.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 12.3 fewer points per game (235.2) than this game’s total of 247.5 points.

The average point total for Hawks games this season is 12.7 fewer points than the total of 247.5 in this matchup.

The average point total for Golden State this year is 11.5 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Atlanta’s ATS record is 29-38-2 this season.

The Warriors have gone 33-36-1 ATS this season.

Hawks Stats & Insights

The Hawks have a -18 scoring differential, putting up 117.2 points per game (fifth in the league) and giving up 117.5 (23rd in the NBA).

The Hawks rank 12th in the league at 43.7 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.6 their opponents average.

Atlanta hits 1.2 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 10.7 (25th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.9.

The Hawks rank fifth in the league by averaging 114.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 29th in the NBA, allowing 116.5 points per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23, the Hawks’ offense has been slightly better at home, where they score 117.3 points per game, compared to on the road, where they put up 117.2 per game. Defensively, they have been tougher when playing at home, where they surrender 116.2 points per game, versus on the road, where they allow their opponents to average 118.7 per game.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors put up 118.3 points per game (second in league) while allowing 117.7 per outing (25th in NBA). They have a +37 scoring differential.

The 44.0 rebounds per game Golden State accumulates rank 10th in the league. Their opponents grab 43.8.

The Warriors connect on 16.7 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.7 more than their opponents.

The Warriors’ 112.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 13th in the NBA, and the 111.7 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 14th in the league.

At home, Golden State averages 119.6 points per game. Away, it scores 116.9.

Hawks Key Players to Watch

The active leader in points and assists for the Hawks this season is Young, who scores 27.0 points and distributes 10.1 assists per game.

Clint Capela’s averages this season are 12.0 points, 11.0 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game.

The Hawks get 2.2 three-pointers per game out of Young.

Dejounte Murray averages 1.6 takeaways per game, and Onyeka Okongwu collects 1.2 rejections per contest.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

The Warriors go-to guy, Poole, leads active Warriors players in both scoring (20.5 points per game) and assists (4.6 assists per game).

Kevon Looney has per-game averages of 7.0 points, 2.4 assists and 9.1 rebounds this season.

Klay Thompson averages 4.3 made threes per game.

Donte DiVincenzo’s 1.3 steals and Looney’s 0.6 blocks per game are important to the Warriors’ defensive performance.

Hawks vs. Warriors Prediction

• Pick ATS: Warriors (+ 4)
• Pick OU:

  Under (247.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Hawks 119 – Warriors 117

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