Raptors vs. Thunder Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 16, 2023

Toronto is a 6.5-point favorite against Oklahoma City when the Pascal Siakam-led Raptors (33-36) and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s Thunder (34-35) meet on March 16, 2023. The over/under for the game is 231.

Raptors vs. Thunder Odds

• Raptors odds to win: -254
• Thunder odds to win: +208
• Spread: Raptors (-6.5)
• Total: 231

Raptors vs. Thunder Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Thursday, March 16, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
• TV: BSOK and SportsNet

Who Will Win Raptors vs. Thunder?

Raptors and Thunder Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Raptors have a 7-8 record against the spread when favored by 6.5 points or more this season.

The Thunder have a 10-5-1 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 6.5 points or more.

The two teams average a combined 0.5 fewer points per game (230.5) than this matchup’s over/under of 231 points.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 2.7 fewer points per game (228.3) than this matchup’s over/under of 231 points.

The average point total in Raptors games this year is 6.3 fewer points than the total of 231 in this matchup.

The average over/under in Oklahoma City’s games this year is 3.0 more points than the point total of 231 in this outing.

Toronto has a 33-35-1 record against the spread this season.

The Thunder have a 43-25-1 record against the spread this season.

Raptors Stats & Insights

The Raptors average 112.6 points per game (23rd in the league) while allowing 112.1 per contest (seventh in the NBA). They have a +29 scoring differential overall.

The 42.7 rebounds per game the Raptors average rank 21st in the NBA. Their opponents record 42.3 per contest.

Toronto makes 10.8 three-pointers per game (22nd in the league) at a 33.8% rate (28th in the NBA), compared to the 12.3 per outing its opponents make while shooting 37.6% from deep.

The Raptors rank 18th in the NBA with 111.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 16th in the league defensively with 111.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

During the 2022-23 season, the Raptors score 2.2 more points per home game on average than on the road (113.7 at home, 111.5 on the road), but are giving up 2.8 fewer points per home game compared to road games (110.7 at home, 113.5 on the road).

Thunder Stats & Insights

The Thunder have a +118 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.7 points per game. They’re putting up 117.9 points per game, third in the league, and are allowing 116.2 per contest to rank 20th in the NBA.

Oklahoma City loses the rebound battle by 2.8 boards on average. It collects 43.8 rebounds per game, 11th in the league, while its opponents grab 46.6.

The Thunder knock down 12.3 three-pointers per game (13th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.9. They shoot 36.0% from deep, and their opponents shoot 35.8%.

The Thunder rank 14th in the league averaging 112.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 10th, allowing 110.7 points per 100 possessions.

At home Oklahoma City is putting up 121.0 points per game, 6.5 more than it is averaging on the road (114.5).

Raptors Key Players to Watch

Siakam leads active Raptors players in scoring, tallying 24.2 points per game to go with 7.6 rebounds and 5.9 assists.

Jakob Poeltl adds 12.7 points, 3.0 assists and 9.1 rebounds per contest. Fred VanVleet puts up 19.4 points, 7.0 assists and 4.2 rebounds a game.

VanVleet makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Raptors, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.1 per contest.

OG Anunoby averages 2.0 steals per game, while Poeltl swats 1.3 shots per contest.

Thunder Key Players to Watch

Josh Giddey averages 7.9 rebounds per game, 6.2 assists per game, and 16.2 points per game.

Gilgeous-Alexander has per-game averages of 31.3 points, 5.6 assists and 4.8 rebounds this season.

Isaiah Joe makes 2.2 treys per game.

The Thunder’s defensive effort gets a boost from Gilgeous-Alexander (1.7 steals and 1.0 block per game).

Raptors vs. Thunder Prediction

• Pick ATS: Thunder (+ 6.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (231)
  

• Prediction:
  Raptors 115 – Thunder 114

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