Knicks vs. Nuggets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 18, 2023

Oddsmakers expect Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (47-23) to hold up well with Julius Randle and the New York Knicks (41-30). New York is a slight 1-point favorite for the game on March 18, 2023. The point total for the matchup is 231.5.

Knicks vs. Nuggets Odds

• Knicks odds to win: -114
• Nuggets odds to win: -106
• Spread: Knicks (-1)
• Total: 231.5

Knicks vs. Nuggets Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
• Where: Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York
• TV: MSG and ALT2

Who Will Win Knicks vs. Nuggets?

Knicks and Nuggets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Knicks are 19-14 against the spread when favored by 1 point or more this season.

The Nuggets are 9-6-1 against the spread when an underdog by 1 point or more this year.

The two teams average a combined 0.5 more points per game (232) than this game’s over/under of 231.5 points.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 225.3 points per game, 6.2 fewer than the point total in this game.

The Knicks’ average point total in outings this year is 227.4, 4.1 points less than the total in this game.

Denver’s games this year have averaged a total of 229.9 points, 1.6 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

So far this season, New York has compiled a 40-30-1 record against the spread.

The Nuggets’ ATS record is 37-31-2 this season.

Knicks Stats & Insights

The Knicks outscore opponents by 2.8 points per game (scoring 115.1 points per game to rank 14th in the league while allowing 112.3 per contest to rank eighth in the NBA) and have a +202 scoring differential overall.

The 47.1 rebounds per game the Knicks average rank second in the league, and are 4.3 more than the 42.8 their opponents collect per outing.

New York knocks down 12.4 three-pointers per game (12th in the league) at a 34.8% rate (22nd in the NBA), compared to the 12.9 its opponents make while shooting 34.6% from beyond the arc.

The Knicks average 114.1 points per 100 possessions (eighth in the league), while allowing 110.9 points per 100 possessions (10th in the NBA).

The Knicks have been better offensively at home, where they average 116.2 points per game, compared to road games, where they average 114.1 per game. Defensively, they are slightly better at home, where they give up 112.2 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they let their opponents to score 112.4 per game.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets are outscoring opponents by 3.9 points per game, with a +270 scoring differential overall. They put up 116.9 points per game (seventh in NBA) and allow 113 per outing (13th in league).

Denver is 17th in the league at 43 rebounds per game. That’s 2.7 more than the 40.3 its opponents average.

The Nuggets make 12.1 three-pointers per game (15th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.5. They shoot 38.7% from deep, and their opponents shoot 35%.

The Nuggets’ 117.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank first in the NBA, and the 113.3 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 19th in the league.

Denver averages 120.6 points per game at home, and 112.9 away.

Knicks Key Players to Watch

Randle averages 25.2 points, 10.3 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game.

Jalen Brunson’s averages this season are 23.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game.

Randle makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Knicks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.9 per contest.

Josh Hart averages 1.1 steals per game, while Mitchell Robinson swats 1.6 shots per contest.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Jokic has shown out this season to lead active Nuggets players in points (24.8 per game), rebounds (11.9 per game), and assists (9.9 per game).

Michael Porter Jr. knocks down 2.9 threes per game.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope’s 1.5 steals and Aaron Gordon’s 0.8 blocks per game are vital to the Nuggets’ defensive performance.

Knicks vs. Nuggets Prediction

• Pick ATS: Knicks (- 1)
• Pick OU:

  Under (231.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Knicks 116 – Nuggets 113

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