Celtics vs. Jazz Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 18, 2023

Lauri Markkanen’s Utah Jazz (33-36) will look to earn an upset of Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics (49-22) on March 18, 2023. The Celtics are a 4.5-point favorite. A point total of 233 is set for the matchup.

Celtics vs. Jazz Odds

• Celtics odds to win: -191
• Jazz odds to win: +161
• Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
• Total: 233

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Game Time and Information

• When: Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET
• Where: Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, Utah
• TV: SportsNet RM and NBCS-BOS

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Jazz?

Celtics and Jazz Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Celtics have a 20-25-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 4.5 points or more.

The Jazz have a 13-5 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 4.5 points or more this year.

These teams average a combined 234.8 points per game, 1.8 more points than the total of 233 set for this matchup.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 229.4 points per game, 3.6 fewer than the over/under for this matchup.

The average point total in Celtics games this season is 3.2 fewer points than the total of 233 in this matchup.

The average point total for Utah this year is 1.5 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Boston’s ATS record is 36-32-3 this season.

The Jazz are 38-31-0 ATS this year.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics average 117.6 points per game (fourth in the league) while allowing 112.2 per contest (seventh in the NBA). They have a +387 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 5.4 points per game.

The Celtics win the rebound battle by 1.2 boards on average. They record 45.1 rebounds per game, which ranks seventh in the league, while their opponents grab 43.9 per outing.

Boston knocks down 15.8 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league), 4.0 more than its opponents (11.8). It is shooting 37.5% from beyond the arc (seventh-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 35.2%.

The Celtics rank fourth in the NBA with 115.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and fourth in the league defensively with 109.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23, the Celtics’ offense has been significantly better at home, where they score 120.7 points per game, compared to road games, where they average 114.7 per game. Defensively, they have been slightly tougher at home, where they concede 111.9 points per game, versus on the road, where they allow opponents to score 112.4 per game.

Jazz Stats & Insights

The Jazz have a -1 scoring differential, putting up 117.2 points per game (sixth in league) and allowing 117.2 (22nd in NBA).

Utah is sixth in the NBA at 45.3 rebounds per game. That’s 2.0 more than the 43.3 its opponents average.

The Jazz connect on 1.9 more threes per game than the opposition, 13.8 (sixth-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.9.

The Jazz rank 12th in the NBA with 113.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 21st defensively with 113.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

At home, Utah scores 118.4 points per game. On the road, it scores 116.2.

Celtics Key Players to Watch

Tatum puts up 30.2 points and 9.0 rebounds per game, with 4.7 assists.

Marcus Smart averages 11.3 points per game while adding 3.2 rebounds and 6.4 assists for the Celtics.

Tatum leads active Celtics in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 3.3 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Smart averages 1.5 steals per game, while Derrick White swats 0.9 shots per contest.

Jazz Key Players to Watch

Markkanen scores 25.4 points per game and also tacks on 8.5 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest.

Walker Kessler has per-game averages of 8.6 points, 0.8 assists and 8.3 rebounds this season.

Markkanen cashes in on 3.0 treys per game.

The Jazz’s defensive effort gets a boost from Kelly Olynyk (0.9 steals per game) and Kessler (2.3 blocks per game).

Celtics vs. Jazz Prediction

• Pick ATS: Jazz (+ 4.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (233)
  

• Prediction:
  Celtics 118 – Jazz 114

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