Thunder vs. Suns Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 19, 2023

Devin Booker’s Phoenix Suns (38-32) are just 1-point underdogs in Sunday’s matchup with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Oklahoma City Thunder (34-36). The game features a point total of 234.

Thunder vs. Suns Odds

• Thunder odds to win: -114
• Suns odds to win: -106
• Spread: Thunder (-1)
• Total: 234

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Game Time and Information

• When: Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
• Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
• TV: BSOK and BSAZ

Who Will Win Thunder vs. Suns?

Thunder and Suns Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 1 point or more, the Thunder have a 13-10 record against the spread.

The Suns have a 12-13-2 record against the spread when an underdog by 1 point or more this year.

The Thunder and the Suns combine to average 2.9 fewer points per game than the over/under of 234 set for this matchup.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 6.3 fewer points per game (227.7) than this game’s over/under of 234 points.

The Thunder’s average point total in outings this season is 234.1, 0.1 points higher than the over/under in this game.

The average over/under in Phoenix’s games this year is 9.3 fewer points than the point total of 234 for this outing.

So far this season, Oklahoma City has compiled a 43-26-1 record against the spread.

So far this season, the Suns have compiled a 35-32-3 record against the spread.

Thunder Stats & Insights

The Thunder’s +101 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 117.8 points per game (third in the NBA) while allowing 116.3 per outing (20th in the league).

The Thunder lose the rebound battle by 3.1 boards on average. They record 43.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 12th in the league, while their opponents pull down 46.8 per contest.

Oklahoma City hits 12.3 three-pointers per game (12th in the league), while its opponents have made 13 on average.

The Thunder rank 14th in the NBA with 112.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 10th in the league defensively with 110.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

So far in the 2022-23 campaign, the Thunder score 6.6 more points per home game on average than on the road (121 at home, 114.4 on the road), but are conceding 2.1 fewer points per home game compared to road games (115.3 at home, 117.4 on the road).

Suns Stats & Insights

The Suns’ +129 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.9 points per game) is a result of putting up 113.3 points per game (20th in NBA) while giving up 111.4 per contest (fourth in league).

Phoenix wins the rebound battle by an average of 1.5 boards. It records 44.2 rebounds per game (ninth in league) compared to its opponents’ 42.7.

The Suns hit 12.3 three-pointers per game (12th in the league), while their opponents have made 11.6 on average.

The Suns average 111.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (17th in league), and give up 110 points per 100 possessions (sixth in NBA).

Phoenix is putting up more points at home (114.2 per game) than away (112.3).

Thunder Key Players to Watch

The Thunder get 16.2 points, 7.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists from Josh Giddey.

This season, Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game.

Isaiah Joe makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Thunder, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.2 per contest.

Gilgeous-Alexander collects 1.7 steals and one block on average per game.

Suns Key Players to Watch

Booker racks up 27.6 points per game and also tacks on 4.5 rebounds and 5.6 assists per contest.

This season, Torrey Craig has a statline of 7.4 points, 1.5 assists and 5.6 rebounds per game.

Damion Lee averages 1.5 made threes per game.

Chris Paul’s 1.6 steals and Bismack Biyombo’s 1.2 blocks per game are important to the Suns’ defensive effort.

Thunder vs. Suns Prediction

• Pick ATS: Thunder (- 1)
• Pick OU:

  Under (234)
  

• Prediction:
  Thunder 116 – Suns 114

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