Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, March 20, 2023
The Golden State Warriors (36-36) enter their game against the Houston Rockets (18-53) on March 20, 2023 as double-digit favorites. Golden State is favored by 11 points. The over/under for the game is 235.5.
Warriors vs. Rockets Odds
- Warriors odds to win: -599
- Rockets odds to win: +434
- Spread: Warriors (-11)
- Total: 235.5
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Game Time and Information
- When: Monday, March 20, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
- Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
- TV: NBCS-BA and SportsNet SW
Who Will Win Warriors vs. Rockets?
Warriors and Rockets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Warriors are 1-2 against the spread when favored by 11 points or more this season.
In games this season in which they were an underdog by 11 points or more, the Rockets have a 3-8 record against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 6.9 fewer points per game, 228.6, than this game’s over/under of 235.5 points.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 236.2 points per game, 0.7 more than the over/under in this game.
The average total the Warriors have had in their games this year is 0.9 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The average over/under in Houston’s games this year is 7.1 fewer points than the point total of 235.5 for this outing.
Golden State’s ATS record is 33-38-1 this season.
So far this year, the Rockets have put together a 28-39-4 record against the spread.
Warriors Stats & Insights
The Warriors average 118.3 points per game (second in the league) while allowing 118.1 per outing (25th in the NBA). They have a +15 scoring differential overall.
The Warriors average 44.2 rebounds per game (ninth in the league) compared to the 43.8 of their opponents.
Golden State hits 3.4 more threes per game than the opposition, 16.5 (first in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.1.
The Warriors rank 13th in the NBA with 112.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 17th in the league defensively with 112.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.
In the 2022-23 season, the Warriors score 2.6 more points per home game on average than on the road (119.6 at home, 117.0 on the road), but are conceding 12.8 fewer points per home game compared to road games (111.7 at home, 124.5 on the road).
Rockets Stats & Insights
The Rockets have a -551 scoring differential, falling short by 7.8 points per game. They’re putting up 110.3 points per game, 29th in the league, and are giving up 118.1 per contest to rank 25th in the NBA.
Houston pulls down 46.4 rebounds per game (fourth in league) while conceding 41.3 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 5.1 boards per game.
The Rockets knock down 4.0 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 10.6 (27th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 14.6.
The Rockets put up 107.1 points per 100 possessions (30th in league), while allowing 116.4 points per 100 possessions (28th in NBA).
At home Houston is putting up 110.2 points per game, 0.2 fewer points than it is averaging away (110.4).
Warriors Key Players to Watch
The scoring leader for the Warriors this season is Jordan Poole (among active players), who averages 20.4 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 4.6 assists per game.
Draymond Green is averaging 8.4 points, 6.7 assists and 7.3 rebounds a game, while Kevon Looney adds 7.2 points, 2.4 assists and 9.1 rebounds per matchup.
The Warriors get 4.3 three-pointers per game out of Klay Thompson.
Donte DiVincenzo averages 1.3 steals per game, while Green has 0.8 blocks per contest.
Rockets Key Players to Watch
Jalen Green racks up 22.0 points per game and also tacks on 3.9 rebounds and 3.6 assists per contest.
This season, Alperen Sengun has a statline of 14.6 points, 3.8 assists and 8.8 rebounds per game.
Jalen Green cashes in on 2.5 treys per game.
Tari Eason’s 1.1 steals and Jabari Smith Jr.’s 0.9 blocks per game are key to the Rockets’ defensive effort.
Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction
- Pick ATS: Rockets (+ 11)
- Pick OU:
Under (235.5)
- Prediction:
Warriors 120 – Rockets 113
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