Heat vs. Knicks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, March 22, 2023

Miami is just a 2-point favorite against New York when the Heat (39-34) and the Knicks (42-31) face off on March 22, 2023 in a game expected to be a close one. A 224.5-point total has been set for the game.

Heat vs. Knicks Odds

• Heat odds to win: -128
• Knicks odds to win: +108
• Spread: Heat (-2)
• Total: 224.5

Heat vs. Knicks Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Wednesday, March 22, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
• TV: BSSUN and MSG

Who Will Win Heat vs. Knicks?

Heat and Knicks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Heat have a 13-29-4 record against the spread this season when favored by 2 points or more.

The Knicks have a 19-12-1 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 2 points or more this season.

The two teams average a combined 0.1 fewer points per game, 224.4, than this matchup’s over/under of 224.5 points.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 2.4 fewer points per game (222.1) than this game’s over/under of 224.5 points.

The Heat’s average point total in outings this season is 218.5, 6.0 points below the total in this game.

New York’s games this year have averaged an over/under of 228.0 points, 3.5 more than the point total in this matchup.

So far this season, Miami has put together a 26-43-4 record against the spread.

The Knicks have gone 41-31-1 ATS this year.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat score 109.0 points per game (30th in the NBA) and allow 109.5 (second in the league) for a -36 scoring differential overall.

The Heat pull down 40.9 rebounds per game (28th in the league) compared to the 41.9 of their opponents.

Miami makes 11.7 three-pointers per game (17th in the league) at a 33.8% rate (28th in the NBA), compared to the 13.2 per contest its opponents make while shooting 36.9% from beyond the arc.

The Heat average 109.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (26th in the league), and allow 110.0 points per 100 possessions (seventh in the NBA).

So far in the 2022-23 season, the Heat score 3.0 more points per home game on average than on the road (110.5 at home, 107.5 on the road), but are giving up 0.7 fewer points per home game compared to road games (109.2 at home, 109.9 on the road).

Knicks Stats & Insights

The Knicks put up 115.4 points per game (13th in league) while giving up 112.6 per outing (11th in NBA). They have a +202 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 2.8 points per game.

New York wins the rebound battle by an average of 4.3 boards. It collects 46.8 rebounds per game (third in league) compared to its opponents’ 42.5.

The Knicks connect on 12.4 three-pointers per game (12th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.9. They shoot 34.9% from deep, and their opponents shoot 34.9%.

The Knicks rank sixth in the NBA with 114.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 11th defensively with 111.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.

At home, New York scores 116.6 points per game. Away, it averages 114.1.

Heat Key Players to Watch

Bam Adebayo averages 21.1 points, 9.4 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game.

Jimmy Butler contributes with 6.1 boards and 5.1 assists per game in addition to his 22.7 PPG scoring average.

Tyler Herro leads active Heat in three-point shooting, making an average of 3.0 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Butler averages 1.9 takeaways per game, while Adebayo records 0.9 rejections per contest.

Knicks Key Players to Watch

Julius Randle has been among the team’s best in both scoring (25.6 points per game) and rebounding (10.2 rebounds per game) while adding 4.1 assists per contest.

Jalen Brunson has per-game averages of 23.8 points, 6.2 assists and 3.5 rebounds this season.

Randle averages 2.9 made threes per game.

The Knicks’ defensive effort gets a lift from Josh Hart (1.1 steals per game) and Mitchell Robinson (1.6 blocks per game).

Heat vs. Knicks Prediction

• Pick ATS: Knicks (+ 2)
• Pick OU:

  Under (224.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Knicks 112 – Heat 111

How to Bet on Heat vs. Knicks

Get more NBA picks and predictions, the top NBA Player Prop Bets, and game previews as well as view the latest live NBA lines on Betsperts.

If you are new to sports betting, read our in-depth guide on how to bet on basketball as well as find the best NBA betting sites.