Bucks vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, March 22, 2023

The San Antonio Spurs (19-53) will need a huge game from leading scorer Keldon Johnson (21.8 ppg) when they play the Milwaukee Bucks (51-20) as 17.5-point underdogs for their clash on March 22, 2023. A point total of 238 is set for the game.

Bucks vs. Spurs Odds

• Bucks odds to win: -2164
• Spurs odds to win: +1080
• Spread: Bucks (-17.5)
• Total: 238

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Game Time and Information

• When: Wednesday, March 22, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
• Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• TV: BSSW and BSWI

Who Will Win Bucks vs. Spurs?

Bucks and Spurs Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The two teams average a combined 9.3 fewer points per game (228.7) than this game’s over/under of 238 points.

Milwaukee and San Antonio have seen its opponents average a combined 3.6 fewer points per game than the point total of 238 set for this game.

The average point total in Bucks games this year is 9.4 fewer points than the over/under of 238 in this matchup.

The average total for San Antonio’s games this year is 3.6 fewer points than the point total of 238 for this outing.

Milwaukee is 38-28-5 ATS this season.

The Spurs’ ATS record is 30-42-0 this season.

Bucks Stats & Insights

The Bucks’ +277 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 116.3 points per game (ninth in the NBA) while allowing 112.4 per contest (eighth in the league).

The Bucks win the rebound battle by 4.5 boards on average. They collect 48.9 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league, while their opponents pull down 44.4 per contest.

Milwaukee knocks down 14.8 three-pointers per game (fourth-most in the league) while shooting 36.6% from deep (11th in the NBA). It is making 2.9 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 11.9 per game while shooting 35.0%.

The Bucks’ 113.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank ninth in the NBA, and the 108.6 points they allow per 100 possessions rank third in the league.

So far in 2022-23, the Bucks’ offense has been much better at home, where they average 119.6 points per game, compared to on the road, where they score 112.8 per game. On defense, they have been slightly worse at home, where they concede 112.4 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow opponents to score 112.3 per game.

Spurs Stats & Insights

The Spurs have been outscored by 9.6 points per game (posting 112.4 points per game, 24th in league, while conceding 122.0 per outing, 30th in NBA) and have a -695 scoring differential.

San Antonio loses the rebound battle by 1.2 boards on average. It records 43.4 rebounds per game, 16th in the league, while its opponents pull down 44.6.

The Spurs make 11.0 three-pointers per game (22nd in the league), 1.3 fewer than their opponents. They are shooting 34.8% from deep (23rd in NBA) and opponents are shooting 39.2%.

The Spurs rank 29th in the NBA with 107.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 30th defensively with 117.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.

San Antonio scores 114.2 points per game at home, and 110.3 away.

Bucks Key Players to Watch

Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 31.3 points, 11.9 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game.

Jrue Holiday contributes with 5.1 boards and 7.3 assists per game in addition to his 19.2 PPG scoring average.

Holiday makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Bucks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.4 per contest.

Holiday averages 1.2 steals per game, while Brook Lopez swats 2.5 shots per contest.

Spurs Key Players to Watch

Johnson’s performance this season has resulted in strong scoring and assists numbers, with 21.8 points per game and 2.9 assists per game to go with 5.0 rebounds per contest.

Zach Collins has per-game averages of 11.2 points, 2.8 assists and 6.3 rebounds this season.

Johnson averages 2.1 made threes per game.

The Spurs’ defensive efforts get a lift from Johnson (0.7 steals per game) and Collins (0.7 blocks per game).

Bucks vs. Spurs Prediction

• Pick ATS: Bucks (- 17.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (238)
  

• Prediction:
  Bucks 125 – Spurs 106

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