Nuggets vs. Wizards Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, March 22, 2023

The Denver Nuggets (48-24) are 9-point favorites as they ready to take on the Washington Wizards (32-40) on March 22, 2023. A point total of 225 has been set for the game.

Nuggets vs. Wizards Odds

• Nuggets odds to win: -390
• Wizards odds to win: +308
• Spread: Nuggets (-9)
• Total: 225

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Game Time and Information

• When: Wednesday, March 22, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
• Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
• TV: NBCS-DC and ALT

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Wizards?

Nuggets and Wizards Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 9 points or more, the Nuggets have a 9-9-1 record against the spread.

When they have played as at least 9-point underdogs this season, the Wizards are 1-2 against the spread.

The two teams average a combined 4.4 more points per game, 229.4, than this game’s total of 225 points.

Denver and Washington have seen its opponents average a combined 1.5 more points per game than the point total of 225 set for this matchup.

The average total the Nuggets have had in their games this season is 4.5 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average over/under for Washington’s games this season is 1.4 more points than the point total of 225 in this outing.

Denver has a 38-32-2 record against the spread this season.

The Wizards’ ATS record is 32-38-2 this season.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets are outscoring opponents by 3.7 points per game with a +270 scoring differential overall. They put up 116.6 points per game (seventh in the NBA) and allow 112.9 per contest (12th in the league).

The 42.8 rebounds per game the Nuggets average rank 19th in the league, and are 2.6 more than the 40.2 their opponents collect per outing.

Denver connects on 12.1 three-pointers per game (15th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.5. It shoots 38.8% from deep while its opponents hit 34.9% from long range.

The Nuggets’ 117.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank first in the NBA, and the 113.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 19th in the league.

The Nuggets have scored at a much higher rate when playing at home than on the road in the 2022-23 season (120.6 at home versus 112.7 on the road), though they have surrendered fewer points at home than away from home (110.1 opponent points per home game versus 115.6 on the road).

Wizards Stats & Insights

The Wizards have a -61 scoring differential, putting up 112.8 points per game (22nd in league) and allowing 113.6 (16th in NBA).

Washington pulls down 43.6 rebounds per game (13th in league), compared to the 42.6 of its opponents.

The Wizards make 11.2 three-pointers per game (21st in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.9. They shoot 35.7% from deep, and their opponents shoot 36.5%.

The Wizards put up 111.5 points per 100 possessions (18th in league), while giving up 114.5 points per 100 possessions (24th in NBA).

At home Washington is putting up 113.4 points per game, 1.1 more than it is averaging away (112.3).

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Nikola Jokic accumulates 24.7 points and 11.9 rebounds per game, with 9.9 assists.

Michael Porter Jr. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Nuggets, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of three per contest.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 steals per game, while Aaron Gordon swats 0.8 shots per contest.

Wizards Key Players to Watch

Kristaps Porzingis holds the top Wizards spot in two categories among active players: scoring (22.9 points per game) and rebounding (8.4 rebounds per game). He also has 2.6 assists per contest.

Monte Morris has per-game averages of 10.3 points, 5.2 assists and 3.4 rebounds this season.

Porzingis hits 2.1 threes per game.

Delon Wright’s 1.9 steals and Porzingis’ 1.6 blocks per game are vital to the Wizards’ defensive performance.

Nuggets vs. Wizards Prediction

• Pick ATS: Wizards (+ 9)
• Pick OU:

  Over (225)
  

• Prediction:
  Nuggets 115 – Wizards 113

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