Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, March 22, 2023

Luka Doncic’s Dallas Mavericks (36-36) will try to upset Jordan Poole and the Golden State Warriors when the Mavericks square off against the Warriors on March 22, 2023. Golden State is a 3-point favorite against Dallas. The over/under for the matchup is 236.5.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds

• Warriors odds to win: -141
• Mavericks odds to win: +120
• Spread: Warriors (-3)
• Total: 236.5

Warriors vs. Mavericks Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Wednesday, March 22, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: ESPN, BSSW, and NBCS-BA

Who Will Win Warriors vs. Mavericks?

Warriors and Mavericks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 3 points or more, the Warriors have a 20-19-1 record against the spread.

In games this year in which they were an underdog by 3 points or more, the Mavericks have a 9-10-1 record against the spread.

The Warriors and the Mavericks combine to average 4.5 fewer points per game than the over/under of 236.5 set for this game.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 231.1 points per game, 5.4 fewer than the point total in this game.

The Warriors’ average point total in matchups this year is 236.3, 0.2 points below the over/under in this game.

The average over/under in Dallas’ games this season is 9.5 fewer points than the point total of 236.5 for this outing.

So far this season, Golden State has put together a 34-38-1 record against the spread.

The Mavericks are 26-42-4 against the spread this year.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors score 118.3 points per game (second in the NBA) and allow 117.9 (25th in the league) for a +28 scoring differential overall.

The 44.2 rebounds per game the Warriors average rank ninth in the NBA. Their opponents grab 43.7 per contest.

Golden State makes 3.5 more threes per game than the opposition, 16.5 (first in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.

The Warriors’ 112.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 13th in the NBA, and the 111.9 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 15th in the league.

So far in 2022-23, the Warriors’ offense has been better at home, where they score 119.6 points per game, compared to road games, where they score 117.1 per game. On the defensive side of the ball, they have been much better at home, where they concede 111.7 points per game, versus road games, where they let opponents to score 124 per game.

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks put up 113.7 points per game (17th in league) while allowing 113.2 per outing (15th in NBA). They have a +36 scoring differential.

Dallas loses the rebound battle by 5.4 boards on average. It collects 38.7 rebounds per game, 30th in the league, while its opponents pull down 44.1.

The Mavericks make 15.1 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league), 4.1 more than their opponents. They are shooting 37.1% from beyond the arc (ninth-best in NBA), and opponents are shooting 35%.

The Mavericks’ 114.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank eighth in the NBA, and the 113.5 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 20th in the league.

Dallas averages 115.1 points per game at home, and 112.4 away.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

Poole leads active Warriors players in scoring, tallying 20.2 points per game to go with 2.7 rebounds and 4.6 assists.

Draymond Green contributes with 8.4 points, 6.8 assists and 7.3 rebounds per game, and Kevon Looney adds 7.2 points, 2.4 assists and 9.1 rebounds per contest.

Klay Thompson makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Warriors, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 4.3 per contest.

Donte DiVincenzo averages 1.3 steals per game, while Green swats 0.8 shots per contest.

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Doncic is having a well-balanced season overall, with 33 points per game, 8.6 rebounds per game, and eight assists per game.

Kyrie Irving makes 3.3 treys per game.

The Mavericks’ defensive efforts get a lift from Doncic’s 1.5 steals and Christian Wood’s 1.1 blocks per game.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction

• Pick ATS: Mavericks (+ 3)
• Pick OU:

  Under (236.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Mavericks 117 – Warriors 114

How to Bet on Warriors vs. Mavericks

Get more NBA picks and predictions, the top NBA Player Prop Bets, and game previews as well as view the latest live NBA lines on Betsperts.

If you are new to sports betting, read our in-depth guide on how to bet on basketball as well as find the best NBA betting sites.