Heat vs. Nets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 25, 2023

March 24, 2023, by Luis Escalante NBA Predictions

Mikal Bridges’ Brooklyn Nets (39-34) will aim to upset Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat when the Nets square off against the Heat on March 25, 2023. The line has the Heat favored by 6 points against the Nets. The matchup’s over/under is 220.5.

Heat vs. Nets Odds

Heat odds to win: -225
Nets odds to win: +186
Spread: Heat (-6)
Total: 220.5

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Game Time and Information

When: Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
TV: BSSUN and YES

Who Will Win Heat vs. Nets?

Heat and Nets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Heat have a 4-13-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 6 points or more.

The Nets have a 9-3 record against the spread when an underdog by 6 points or more this year.

These two teams average 222.6 points per game combined, 2.1 more than the total of 220.5.

Miami and Brooklyn have seen its opponents average a combined 2.1 more points per game than the point total of 220.5 set in this outing.

The average total the Heat have had set in games this year is 1.6 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for Brooklyn this season is 5.7 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Miami is 27-43-4 ATS this season.

The Nets have a 39-34-0 record against the spread this season.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat score 109.3 points per game (30th in the NBA) and allow 109.7 (second in the league) for a -29 scoring differential overall.

The Heat are 28th in the NBA at 40.8 rebounds per game. That’s 1.1 fewer than the 41.9 their opponents average.

Miami connects on 11.7 three-pointers per game (18th in the league), 1.5 fewer than its opponents (13.2).

The Heat rank 25th in the NBA with 109.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and eighth in the league defensively with 110.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Heat have scored at a higher rate at home than away from home in the 2022-23 season (111.0 at home versus 107.5 on the road), though they have surrendered fewer points in home games than away from home (109.4 opponent points per home game versus 109.9 on the road).

Nets Stats & Insights

The Nets put up 113.3 points per game (19th in league) while giving up 112.9 per outing (14th in NBA). They have a +29 scoring differential.

Brooklyn comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 4.7 boards. It collects 40.3 rebounds per game (29th in league) compared to its opponents’ 45.0.

The Nets knock down 12.7 three-pointers per game (ninth-most in the league), while their opponents have made 12.1 on average.

The Nets rank sixth in the league averaging 114.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 18th, allowing 112.4 points per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 Brooklyn is averaging 0.2 more points per game at home (113.4) than on the road (113.2).

Heat Key Players to Watch

Adebayo averages 21.0 points, 9.3 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game.

Jimmy Butler contributes with 6.1 boards and 5.1 assists per game in addition to his 22.9 PPG scoring average.

Tyler Herro leads active Heat in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 3.1 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Butler averages 1.9 steals per game, while Adebayo swats 0.9 shots per contest.

Nets Key Players to Watch

Bridges scores 19.3 points per game. He also contributes 4.4 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game this season.

This season, Nicolas Claxton has a statline that includes 12.5 points, 1.8 assists and 9.2 rebounds per game.

Spencer Dinwiddie averages 2.4 made threes per game.

Bridges’ 1.1 steals and Claxton’s 2.5 blocks per game are important to the Nets’ defensive performance.