Mavericks vs. Hornets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 24, 2023

March 24, 2023, by Luis Escalante NBA Predictions

The Dallas Mavericks (36-37) head into their matchup against the Charlotte Hornets (23-51) on March 24, 2023 as heavy favorites. Dallas is a 15.5-point favorite. The over/under for the game is 228.

Mavericks vs. Hornets Odds

Mavericks odds to win: -1249
Hornets odds to win: +767
Spread: Mavericks (-15.5)
Total: 228

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Game Time and Information

When: Friday, March 24, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
TV: BSSW and BSSE

Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Hornets?

Mavericks and Hornets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The two teams average a combined 3.0 fewer points per game (225) than this matchup’s total of 228 points.

Dallas and Charlotte have seen its opponents average a combined 2.8 more points per game than the over/under of 228 set in this game.

The average point total in Mavericks games this season is 0.7 fewer points than the over/under of 228 in this matchup.

The average over/under for Charlotte’s games this year is 0.5 more points than the point total of 228 in this outing.

So far this season, Dallas has compiled a 27-42-4 record against the spread.

The Hornets have a 31-40-3 record against the spread this year.

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks average 113.9 points per game (17th in the league) while allowing 113.4 per outing (15th in the NBA). They have a +34 scoring differential overall.

The Mavericks lose the rebound battle by an average of 5.5 boards. They are grabbing 38.6 rebounds per game (30th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 44.1 per contest.

Dallas hits 15.1 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league) while shooting 37.1% from beyond the arc (ninth-best in the NBA). It is making 4.1 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 11.0 per game while shooting 34.9%.

The Mavericks’ 114.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank sixth in the NBA, and the 113.7 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 20th in the league.

The Mavericks’ offense has been much better at home (115.4 PPG) compared to road games (112.4 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been better when playing at home (111.6 PPG allowed) when compared to their play on the road (115.3 PPG allowed).

Hornets Stats & Insights

The Hornets have been outscored by 6.3 points per game (posting 111.1 points per game, 27th in league, while conceding 117.4 per outing, 22nd in NBA) and have a -467 scoring differential.

Charlotte loses the rebound battle by 2.1 boards on average. It records 44.5 rebounds per game, eighth in the league, while its opponents grab 46.6.

The Hornets make 10.6 three-pointers per game (28th in the league), 1.7 fewer than their opponents.

The Hornets average 109.6 points per 100 possessions (26th in league), while conceding 113.9 points per 100 possessions (22nd in NBA).

In 2022-23 Charlotte is scoring 2.1 fewer points per game at home (110.0) than on the road (112.1).

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Luka Doncic averages 32.9 points and 8.6 rebounds per game, with 8.2 assists.

The Mavericks get 2.9 three-pointers per game out of Tim Hardaway Jr..

Doncic averages 1.4 steals per game, while Christian Wood swats 1.1 shots per contest.

Hornets Key Players to Watch

Terry Rozier holds the top spot on the Hornets scoring and assist lists among active players, putting up 21.1 points and 5.1 assists per game.

This season, Nick Richards has a statline that includes 7.9 points, 0.6 assists and 6.2 rebounds per game.

Rozier averages 2.6 made threes per game.

The Hornets’ defensive efforts get a lift from Dennis Smith Jr. (1.4 steals per game) and P.J. Washington (1.1 blocks per game).