Cavaliers vs. Rockets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 26, 2023
Donovan Mitchell’s Cleveland Cavaliers (47-28) hit the court as double-digit favorites against the Houston Rockets (18-56) on March 26, 2023. Cleveland is favored by 14 points. A point total of 228 is set for the game.
Cavaliers vs. Rockets Odds
- Cavaliers odds to win: -1075
- Rockets odds to win: +692
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14)
- Total: 228
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Game Time and Information
- When: Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 6:00 PM ET
- Where: Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse in Cleveland, Ohio
- TV: BSOH and SportsNet SW
Who Will Win Cavaliers vs. Rockets?
Cavaliers and Rockets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Cavaliers are 1-1 against the spread when favored by 14 points or more this season.
The Rockets have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 14 points or more this year (0-1).
The two teams average a combined 5.2 fewer points per game, 222.8, than this matchup’s total of 228 points.
Cleveland and Houston have seen its opponents average a combined 2.6 fewer points per game than the point total of 228 set in this game.
The average point total in Cavaliers games this season is 9.0 fewer points than the total of 228 in this matchup.
The average point total for Houston this season is 1.3 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Cleveland’s ATS record is 40-34-1 this season.
The Rockets are 29-41-4 ATS this year.
Cavaliers Stats & Insights
The Cavaliers’ +413 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 112.2 points per game (25th in the NBA) while allowing 106.7 per outing (first in the league).
The 41.3 rebounds per game the Cavaliers average rank 25th in the NBA. Their opponents pull down 40.9 per contest.
Cleveland connects on 11.5 three-pointers per game (19th in the league), while its opponents have made 11.3 on average.
The Cavaliers rank 10th in the NBA with 113.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and first in the league defensively with 107.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Cavaliers have scored at a higher clip at home than away from home in the 2022-23 season (113.7 at home versus 110.8 on the road), though they have given up fewer points in home games than in road games (104.6 opponent points per home game versus 108.8 on the road).
Rockets Stats & Insights
The Rockets’ -606 scoring differential (being outscored by 8.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 110.6 points per game (29th in NBA) while allowing 118.7 per outing (29th in league).
Houston wins the rebound battle by 5.0 boards on average. It collects 46.3 rebounds per game, fourth in the league, while its opponents grab 41.3.
The Rockets hit 10.6 three-pointers per game (27th in the league) while shooting 32.7% from deep (30th in NBA). They are making 4.1 fewer threes than their opponents, who drain 14.7 per game at 37.6%.
The Rockets rank 29th in the league averaging 107.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 29th, allowing 117.0 points per 100 possessions.
At home, Houston scores 110.2 points per game. On the road, it averages 110.9.
Cavaliers Key Players to Watch
Mitchell leads active Cavaliers players in scoring, tallying 27.5 points per game to go with 4.2 rebounds and 4.5 assists.
Evan Mobley adds 16.3 points, 2.7 assists and 9.0 rebounds per contest. Darius Garland puts up 21.7 points, 7.8 assists and 2.7 rebounds per game.
Mitchell leads active Cavaliers in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 3.5 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Mitchell averages 1.5 steals per game, while Mobley has 1.4 blocks per contest.
Rockets Key Players to Watch
Jalen Green tallies 21.9 points per game. He also contributes 3.9 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game this season.
This season, Alperen Sengun is averaging 14.7 points, 3.8 assists and 8.7 rebounds per game.
Green averages 2.5 made threes per game.
The Rockets’ defensive effort gets a boost from Tari Eason (1.1 steals per game) and Jabari Smith Jr. (0.9 blocks per game).
Cavaliers vs. Rockets Prediction
- Pick ATS: Cavaliers (- 14)
- Pick OU:
Under (228)
- Prediction:
Cavaliers 121 – Rockets 103
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