Celtics vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 26, 2023

Keldon Johnson and the San Antonio Spurs (19-55) are massive, 15.5-point underdogs when they face the Boston Celtics (51-23) on March 26, 2023. A 231.5-point total has been set for the game.

Celtics vs. Spurs Odds

• Celtics odds to win: -1479
• Spurs odds to win: +875
• Spread: Celtics (-15.5)
• Total: 231.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 6:00 PM ET
• Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
• TV: NBCS-BOS and BSSW

Who Will Win Celtics vs. Spurs?

Celtics and Spurs Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Spurs have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 15.5 points or more this season (0-1).

The two teams average a combined 1.3 fewer points per game (230.2) than this matchup’s total of 231.5 points.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 234.3 points per game, 2.8 more than the point total in this game.

The Celtics’ average point total in matchups this season is 229.9, 1.6 points less than the total in this game.

The average point total for San Antonio this year is 3.1 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Boston is 38-33-3 against the spread this season.

The Spurs’ ATS record is 30-44-0 this season.

Celtics Stats & Insights

The Celtics have a +434 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.9 points per game. They’re putting up 117.9 points per game to rank fourth in the league and are giving up 112.0 per outing to rank fourth in the NBA.

The Celtics rank seventh in the league at 45.1 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.1 their opponents average.

Boston hits 16.0 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league) at a 37.7% rate (sixth-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.8 per game its opponents make at a 35.1% rate.

The Celtics average 115.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (third in the league), and give up 109.3 points per 100 possessions (fourth in the NBA).

The Celtics’ offense has been much better when playing at home (120.7 PPG) compared to road games (115.2 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been better in home games (111.5 PPG allowed) when compared to their play on the road (112.5 PPG allowed).

Spurs Stats & Insights

The Spurs’ -743 scoring differential (being outscored by 10.0 points per game) is a result of putting up 112.3 points per game (24th in NBA) while allowing 122.3 per outing (30th in league).

San Antonio is 15th in the league at 43.4 rebounds per game. That’s 1.3 fewer than the 44.7 its opponents average.

The Spurs connect on 11.0 three-pointers per game (22nd in the league) while shooting 34.6% from beyond the arc (25th in NBA). They are making 1.3 fewer threes than their opponents, who drain 12.3 per game at 39.3%.

The Spurs rank 30th in the NBA with 107.0 points scored per 100 possessions, and 30th defensively with 117.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

At home, San Antonio averages 114.2 points per game. On the road, it scores 110.3.

Celtics Key Players to Watch

Jaylen Brown puts up 26.7 points and 6.9 rebounds per game, with 3.4 assists.

Marcus Smart contributes 11.3 points per game and adds 3.2 rebounds and 6.4 assists for the Celtics.

Brown leads active Celtics in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.5 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Smart averages 1.6 steals per game, while Derrick White swats 0.9 shots per contest.

Spurs Key Players to Watch

Johnson puts up 22.0 points per game and also tacks on 5.1 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest.

This season, Zach Collins is averaging 11.2 points, 2.8 assists and 6.3 rebounds per game.

Johnson makes 2.1 treys per game.

The Spurs’ defensive efforts get a lift from Tre Jones’ 1.3 steals and Collins’ 0.7 blocks per game.

Celtics vs. Spurs Prediction

• Pick ATS: Celtics (- 15.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (231.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Celtics 126 – Spurs 106

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