Mavericks vs. Hornets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 26, 2023
The Dallas Mavericks (36-38) enter their matchup against the Charlotte Hornets (24-51) on March 26, 2023 as double-digit favorites. Dallas is favored by 12.5 points. A 232-point total has been set for the game.
Mavericks vs. Hornets Odds
- Mavericks odds to win: -695
- Hornets odds to win: +493
- Spread: Mavericks (-12.5)
- Total: 232
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Game Time and Information
- When: Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
- Where: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina
- TV: BSSE and BSSW
Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Hornets?
Mavericks and Hornets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
When they have played as at least 12.5-point favorites this season, the Mavericks are 1-1 against the spread.
The Hornets are 1-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 12.5-point underdogs.
The two teams average a combined seven fewer points per game (225) than this game’s total of 232 points.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 1.2 fewer points per game (230.8) than this game’s over/under of 232 points.
The average over/under the Mavericks have had set in games this season is 4.7 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
The average total for Charlotte’s games this season is 3.6 fewer points than the point total of 232 for this outing.
Dallas has gone 27-43-4 ATS this season.
The Hornets are 32-40-3 against the spread this season.
Mavericks Stats & Insights
The Mavericks average 113.8 points per game (17th in the league) while giving up 113.5 per outing (15th in the NBA). They have a +26 scoring differential overall.
The Mavericks lose the rebound battle by 5.3 boards on average. They collect 38.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 30th in the league, while their opponents grab 44 per outing.
Dallas knocks down 15 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league) while shooting 37% from beyond the arc (ninth-best in the NBA). It is making four more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 11 per game while shooting 35%.
The Mavericks’ 114.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank eighth in the NBA, and the 113.7 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 20th in the league.
The Mavericks have scored at a higher clip in home games than away from home in the 2022-23 season (115.2 at home versus 112.4 on the road), though they have allowed fewer points in home games than in road games (111.8 opponent points per home game versus 115.3 on the road).
Hornets Stats & Insights
The Hornets are being outscored by 6.1 points per game, with a -459 scoring differential overall. They put up 111.2 points per game (27th in NBA), and give up 117.3 per outing (22nd in league).
Charlotte loses the rebound battle by 2.1 boards on average. It records 44.5 rebounds per game, eighth in the league, while its opponents pull down 46.6.
The Hornets connect on 10.6 three-pointers per game (27th in the league), 1.7 fewer than their opponents. They are shooting 32.6% from beyond the arc (30th in NBA) and opponents are shooting 35.7%.
The Hornets rank 26th in the NBA with 109.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 21st defensively with 113.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
At home, Charlotte averages 110 points per game. Away, it scores 112.2.
Mavericks Key Players to Watch
Luka Doncic puts up 32.9 points and 8.6 rebounds and 8.2 assists per game.
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Mavericks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.9 per contest.
Doncic averages 1.4 steals per game, while Christian Wood swats 1.1 shots per contest.
Hornets Key Players to Watch
The Hornets go-to guy, Terry Rozier, leads active Hornets players in both scoring (21.1 points per game) and assists (5.1 assists per game).
Nick Richards has per-game averages of eight points, 0.6 assists and 6.3 rebounds this season.
Rozier knocks down 2.6 threes per game.
The Hornets’ defensive efforts get a lift from Dennis Smith Jr. (1.4 steals per game) and P.J. Washington (1.1 blocks per game).
Mavericks vs. Hornets Prediction
- Pick ATS: Hornets (+ 12.5)
- Pick OU:
Under (232)
- Prediction:
Mavericks 116 – Hornets 112
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