Nuggets vs. Bucks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, March 25, 2023

The Milwaukee Bucks (53-20) head into their game on March 25, 2023 as a 3-point underdog against the Denver Nuggets (49-24). The game’s over/under is 237.5.

Nuggets vs. Bucks Odds

• Nuggets odds to win: -159
• Bucks odds to win: +135
• Spread: Nuggets (-3)
• Total: 237.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: NBA TV, ALT, and BSWI

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Bucks?

Nuggets and Bucks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Nuggets are 28-21-1 against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.

The Bucks are 2-4-1 against the spread when an underdog by 3 points or more this season.

The two teams average a combined 4.0 fewer points per game, 233.5, than this game’s total of 237.5 points.

Denver and Milwaukee have seen its opponents average a combined 12.5 fewer points per game than the over/under of 237.5 set in this outing.

The Nuggets’ average point total in matchups this season is 229.4, 8.1 points less than the over/under in this game.

The average point total for Milwaukee this season is 8.5 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Denver is 39-32-2 against the spread this season.

The Bucks have gone 40-28-5 ATS this season.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets average 116.7 points per game (eighth in the league) while allowing 112.8 per contest (11th in the NBA). They have a +284 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 3.9 points per game.

The Nuggets grab 42.8 rebounds per game (19th in the league) while allowing 40.2 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.6 boards per game.

Denver connects on 12.1 three-pointers per game (15th in the league), while its opponents have made 11.4 on average.

The Nuggets’ 117.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank first in the NBA, and the 113.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 19th in the league.

In 2022-23, the Nuggets’ offense has been significantly better at home, where they score 120.6 points per game, compared to on the road, where they score 112.8 per game. On defense, they have been much better in home games, where they surrender 110.1 points per game, versus on the road, where they allow their opponents to average 115.3 per game.

Bucks Stats & Insights

The Bucks are outscoring opponents by 4.6 points per game, with a +341 scoring differential overall. They put up 116.8 points per game (seventh in NBA) and give up 112.2 per contest (seventh in league).

Milwaukee wins the rebound battle by 4.5 boards on average. It collects 49.0 rebounds per game, first in the league, while its opponents pull down 44.5.

The Bucks connect on 3.0 more threes per game than the opposition, 14.9 (fourth-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.9.

The Bucks put up 114.1 points per 100 possessions (ninth in league), while allowing 108.2 points per 100 possessions (third in NBA).

In 2022-23 Milwaukee is averaging 6.3 more points per game at home (119.9) than on the road (113.6).

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

The Nuggets get 24.8 points, 11.9 rebounds and 9.9 assists from Nikola Jokic.

Michael Porter Jr. leads active Nuggets in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 3.0 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 steals per game, while Bruce Brown swats 0.6 shots per contest.

Bucks Key Players to Watch

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been among the team’s best in both scoring (31.1 points per game) and rebounding (11.8 rebounds per game) while adding 5.6 assists per contest.

Jrue Holiday has per-game averages of 19.0 points, 7.3 assists and 5.0 rebounds this season.

Holiday averages 2.4 made threes per game.

The Bucks’ defensive effort gets a lift from Holiday (1.2 steals per game) and Brook Lopez (2.5 blocks per game).

Nuggets vs. Bucks Prediction

• Pick ATS: Bucks (+ 3)
• Pick OU:

  Under (237.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Nuggets 115 – Bucks 114

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