Bucks vs. Pistons Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, March 27, 2023

Milwaukee is a double-digit favorite against Detroit when Brook Lopez’s Bucks (53-21) and Jaden Ivey’s Pistons (16-58) square off on March 27, 2023. The line has the Bucks favored by 13 points. The matchup’s over/under is 227.

Bucks vs. Pistons Odds

• Bucks odds to win: -868
• Pistons odds to win: +583
• Spread: Bucks (-13)
• Total: 227

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Game Time and Information

• When: Monday, March 27, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
• Where: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan
• TV: BSDET and BSWI

Who Will Win Bucks vs. Pistons?

Bucks and Pistons Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Bucks have a 2-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 13 points or more this season.

The Pistons have a 1-7 record against the spread when an underdog by 13 points or more this year.

These two teams average a combined 227.4 points per game, 0.4 more points than the over/under of 227 set for this game.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.0 more points per game, 231, than this game’s total of 227 points.

The average total the Bucks have had set in matchups this year is 2.1 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for Detroit this year is 2.3 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Milwaukee has a 40-29-5 record against the spread this season.

The Pistons’ ATS record is 31-42-1 this season.

Bucks Stats & Insights

The Bucks outscore opponents by 4.3 points per game (scoring 116.7 points per game to rank ninth in the league while giving up 112.4 per outing to rank eighth in the NBA) and have a +318 scoring differential overall.

The Bucks are first in the league at 48.8 rebounds per game. That’s 4.3 more than the 44.5 their opponents average.

Milwaukee hits 2.9 more threes per game than the opposition, 14.8 (fourth-most in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.9.

The Bucks’ 113.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank ninth in the NBA, and the 108.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank third in the league.

The Bucks have scored at a much higher clip when playing at home than away from home in the 2022-23 season (119.9 at home versus 113.4 on the road), though they have surrendered fewer points at home than on the road (111.9 opponent points per home game versus 112.9 on the road).

Pistons Stats & Insights

The Pistons put up 110.7 points per game (28th in league) while allowing 118.6 per outing (27th in NBA). They have a -589 scoring differential and have been outscored by 7.9 points per game.

Detroit loses the rebound battle by an average of 2.5 boards. It records 42.5 rebounds per game (21st in league) compared to its opponents’ 45.0.

The Pistons connect on 11.4 three-pointers per game (20th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.0. They shoot 35.0% from deep, and their opponents shoot 36.0%.

The Pistons rank 28th in the NBA with 107.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 27th defensively with 115.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 Detroit is averaging 3.8 more points per game at home (112.5) than away (108.7).

Bucks Key Players to Watch

Lopez leads active Bucks players in scoring, tallying 15.5 points per game to go with 6.7 rebounds and 1.3 assists.

Jevon Carter contributes with 7.9 points, 2.4 assists and 2.6 rebounds per game, and Bobby Portis adds 13.7 points, 1.6 assists and 9.5 rebounds per matchup.

The Bucks get 2.1 three-pointers per game out of Grayson Allen.

Carter averages 0.9 steals per game, while Lopez has 2.5 blocks per contest.

Pistons Key Players to Watch

Ivey tallies 15.4 points per game and also tacks on 3.9 rebounds and 4.9 assists per contest.

This season, Jalen Duren is averaging 8.7 points, 1.2 assists and 8.7 rebounds per game.

Ivey averages 1.5 made threes per game.

Killian Hayes’ 1.4 steals and Duren’s 0.9 blocks per game are key to the Pistons’ defensive effort.

Bucks vs. Pistons Prediction

• Pick ATS: Bucks (- 13)
• Pick OU:

  Over (227)
  

• Prediction:
  Bucks 121 – Pistons 108

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